Space Talk

Artemis I
Artemis I
The first SLS rocket, Artemis I, sits on the launch pad at KSCs LC39B in 2022

Business is picking up here on the Space Coast, and we’re heading into a very busy stretch on the Eastern Range with missions to Mars, the Moon, low Earth orbit and of course ISS all set to launch here. Best of all, they’ll ride aboard a wide array of rockets and we’ll see some rare birds taking flight from here in Florida.

Those flagship and keystone launches will be mixed in with the regular Starlink and Project Kuiper missions along with some commercial satellite missions. In short, if you like watching rocket launches, the next few months here at The Cape are going to be a treat. Get your bug spray and lawn chair ready.

New Glenn NG-1 lifts off in January from LC-36. Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville
New Glenn NG-1 lifts off in January from LC-36. Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Regulars who watch pad activity or track transport moves out of Astrotech or the Blue Origin integration facility off Space Commerce Way are already seeing the signs: New Glenn’s first stage is at LC-36 being integrated to GS-2 (New Glenn’s second state) and preparing for an integrated static firing as part of its launch campaign. SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy is on the manifest again, albeit in lightly written pencil. And NASA’s Artemis II stack is inching toward flight, with some saying that the crew of that mission will be heading to moon as soon as February 2026. Best we can tell, here’s what’s real, what’s rumor, and what’s sitting on the pad right now:

New Glenn

Starting things off, Blue Origin rolled out its GS-1 booster — Never Tell Me The Odds — to Launch Complex 36 on October 8th. This is a sure sign of the impending second flight of Blue’s New Glenn, a 320-foot tall behemoth of a rocket that the company will use to power the multiple missions it is currently working on.

The rollout from Blue’s factory on Exploration Way kicked off final pad integration for the flight. Following completion of that and culminating in a static firing of GS-1, it’s fair to say that the launch campaign has kicked off for NG-2, carrying NASA’s EscaPADE dual spacecraft, bound for Mars orbit to study solar wind interactions, plus a secondary payload for Viasat.

The static fire is expected in the next 7–10 days according to unofficial sources, and that will be the final greenlight before range clearance. The company already has a launch license, so there will be no need to wait for any FAA approvals.

While Blue Origin hasn’t publicly confirmed a date, multiple launch tracking sites now list November 9, 2025, as the likely target. That may change, of course, so stay tuned.

Falcon Heavy In December?

Assuming a November New Glenn flight, eyes will turn from one end of The Cape to the other, for a rare SpaceX Falcon Heavy mission, this time flying Astrobotic’s Griffin Mission One under NASA’s CLPS program. The lander will ferry the VIPER lunar rover to the south pole of the Moon.

The mission is notable not just for its science payload and is a critical mission for Astrobotic, the mission’s operator. Their first attempt at a lunar landing was not successful, but after applying lessons learned from its Peregrine Mission One, which launched in January 2024 but experienced an anomaly that prevented it from reaching the Moon.

The window opens in early December, though final pad dates haven’t been published.

Frankly, a delay into 2026 would not be terribly surprising. Nothing on Astrobotic’s or NASA’s websites indicates the lander is in Florida for final launch preparation and payload integration. Add in the current shutdown state of the federal government and you can see this mission shifting right on the calendar fair easily.

Artemis II

With the recent transportation of the Orion capsule stack to the VAB and the SLS rocket that awaits it there, things are literally coming together nicely for America’s first crewed mission beyond low-Earth orbit in over fifty years.

NASA is saying that Artemis II is now tracking toward a no-earlier-than February 2026 launch, with an official “no later than” window of April 2026. The mission will send four astronauts around the Moon aboard Orion and riding atop the SLS Block 1 rocket. This will be the first crewed flight of Orion and will raise the count of crewed American spacecraft systems to three, if one includes the Starliner program.

Photo: NASA

Artemis II will bring the excitement and the crowds that go along with it, so this is a launch to watch closely.

Starship – Mid 2026 If All Goes Well

While Starship continues testing from Boca Chica, SpaceX is working feverishly at LC-39A and is progressing to bring full-stack launches to the Cape.

No launch license yet for Florida flights, and no integration tower ready for Super Heavy booster ops. That said, groundwork is active.

Expect a first Florida-based Starship no earlier than mid-2026, contingent on pad completion and FAA approval. That launch would be key to fulfilling the Artemis HLS lander contract. After Artemis II, all eyes will turn to Artemis II, and there are going to be literally dozens of Starship launches from here and in Boca Chica to the support that mission.

First though, a lot has to happen here at The Cape: Starship must gain approval from the FAA, and secondly, the construction at LC-39A and at Hangar X must be completed. Flight hardware will be manufactured in Texas and transported to the Cape by water, and after all of that, all of the pieces need to be put together into an integrated flight system. Sounds daunting, with a lot of potential potholes, but it is foolish to ever bet against SpaceX and their capability to get things done.

So, mid-2026 optimistically. If there are delays, any time after that. Time will tell, but be sure of this: Starship is coming as NASA and the DoD both want it.

Mixed In With It All

Falcon 9, Atlas V and Vulcan will all stay busy with constellation-building, government missions and commercial missions.

They may be overshadowed for a time by the big missions set to fly from here in Florida, but the bread-and-butter rocket launches will continue apace and will be increasing: SpaceX is looking to raise its Falcon 9 pace from The Cape and launching more Starlink satellites thereby, Vulcan is now operational and with a notable backlog of flights, and New Glenn is not far behind. Let’s not forget the venerable Atlas V, it will be carrying Kuiper Project satellites to orbit at a fair steady pace as well.

So if you like rocket launches, this is going to be like Christmas for you. Good thing it’s almost Christmas!

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Starlink 10-17 lifting off.

SpaceX added to its roster of Starlink satellites today when it launched the Starlink Group 10-17 mission from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral. Liftoff was at 1:39 PM ET and into partly cloudy skies on a day in the low 80s.

Aboard the rocket was another group of Starlink V2 Mini satellites, which will join the company’s Starlink network of more than 8,400 similar units in low-Earth orbit. Using Starlink satellites, the company provides Internet connectivity to over seven million customers in 130 countries and territories worldwide.

Launch Replay

Next Launch

Details
Mission Falcon 9 Block 5 | SpainSat NG II — Go for Launch!
Organization SpaceX
Customer / Payload Provider Hisdesat / Spanish Government
Location Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA
Rocket Falcon 9
Pad Space Launch Complex 40
Status Go for Launch
Status Info Current T-0 confirmed by official or reliable sources.
Window Opens Wednesday, 10/22/2025 9:30 PM
Window Closes Thursday, 10/23/2025 1:19 AM
Destination Geostationary Transfer Orbit
Mission Description Second of two next-generation satellites built by Airbus to provide secure communications for the Spanish government, its allies, and international organizations.
Broadcast Start Time Coverage typically begins ~15 minutes before launch.
SpaceX Streaming Coverage Watch Live on SpaceX.com
Spaceflight Now YouTube Coverage Watch on YouTube – Spaceflight Now Live Stream

As of 11:48 AM Friday October 10, 2025. Launch times are subject to change or cancellation at any time. Consult SpaceX.com for more information.

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SpaceX Kuiper KF-03

After multiple delays due to weather, the skies cooperated this evening for SpaceX, allowing the company to launch Falcon 9 and 24 Kuiper telecommunications satellites for Amazon. Liftoff was at 9:58 PM ET.

After flying straight and true throughout its part of the mission, after staging, Booster B1091-2 landed aboard ASDS ‘A Shortfall of Gravitas’ downrange in the Atlantic Ocean off of the coast of the Carolinas at T+ 00:08:18 of the flight.

Meanwhile the second stage and payload continued their ascent until the T+08:30:00 mark when the first second stage shutdown occurred. Another burn is scheduled for the T+00:52:50 mark, and payload deployment is slated to begin shortly after that.

This was the third and final mission for Project Kuiper hardware to launch aboard a Falcon 9, and SpaceX’s 133rd mission for 2025. All-time, SpaceX has flown 546 missions.

Payload

Amazon now has 153 Kuiper spacecraft in orbit.

The Kuiper project is Amazon’s initiative to provide broadband internet service through a constellation of satellites. Today’s launch is the sixth of a series that aims to meet the conditions set by the Federal Communications Commission, which require half of the planned 3,236 satellites to be in orbit by mid-2026. The full network is expected to be completed by mid-2029.

Amazon has publicly committed more than $10 billion to the development and deployment of the Kuiper constellation. The company is building out supporting infrastructure in tandem with the satellites, including user terminals and ground communication sites. The terminals, developed in-house, are designed to be compact and cost-effective. Amazon has said these terminals will support download speeds up to 400 Mbps and will be priced under $400, though full commercial service has not yet begun.

Trajectory

Estimated trajectory of SpaceX Kuiper KF-03.
Estimated trajectory of SpaceX Kuiper KF-03.

Next Launch

Details
Mission Falcon 9 Block 5 | Starlink Group 10-52 — Go for Launch!
Organization SpaceX
Customer / Payload Provider SpaceX — Starlink Division
Location Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA
Rocket Falcon 9
Pad Space Launch Complex 40
Status Go for Launch
Status Info Current T-0 confirmed by official or reliable sources.
Window Opens Thursday, 10/16/2025 2:42 AM
Window Closes Thursday, 10/16/2025 6:42 AM
Destination Low Earth Orbit
Mission Description A batch of 28 satellites for the Starlink mega-constellation — SpaceX’s project for a space-based Internet communication system.
Broadcast Start Time Coverage typically begins ~15 minutes before launch.
SpaceX Streaming Coverage Watch Live on SpaceX.com
Spaceflight Now YouTube Coverage Watch on YouTube – Spaceflight Now Live Stream

As of 11:48 AM Friday October 10, 2025. Launch times are subject to change or cancellation at any time. Consult SpaceX.com for more information.

Launch Replay

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The rocket was clearly visible from The Cape as it passed to the south.

SpaceX launched its eleventh integrated flight of the Starship and Super Heavy booster system on Monday evening from Boca Chica in southeast Texas close to the Mexican border. Today’s mission tested core Starship systems including flight operations, launch, stage separation, engine relight, and controlled splashdowns among many other objectives. It was largely successful and marked a transition point for the company’s vehicle development program.

Liftoff occurred at 6:23 PM Central Time. Shortly after launch, the Super Heavy booster separated from the upper stage as planned and performed a controlled descent before splashing down in the Gulf of Mexico. There was no attempt to catch the booster using the tower’s mechanical arms. Before the launch SpaceX had reported that the descent data would inform future recovery efforts. In any event, the descent and landing of the booster appeared to be nominal in all respects until the rocket splashed down.

Ship 28, Starship’s upper stage, continued on a suborbital trajectory and deployed eight Starlink satellite simulators. It also successfully restarted its Raptor engines in space—an important test for missions that require multiple burns. The vehicle later reentered the atmosphere and splashed down in the Indian Ocean off of the northwest coast of Australia.

This flight is expected to be the final mission using the current version of the Starship hardware, as SpaceX prepares to introduce a more advanced variant, Version 3, with updated systems and structures. Engineers also gathered data on heat shielding and aerodynamic performance, which are critical for future operational flights.

Elon Musk watched the launch from outside mission control, describing the view as a different experience from past launches. No official statements were made during the live broadcast beyond brief technical updates.

NASA is monitoring the Starship program closely, as the vehicle is planned to serve as a lunar lander for future Artemis missions. While timelines remain uncertain, successful flights like this one move the system closer to the performance levels required for human-rated missions.

Another group watching closely were Space Coast residents. Starship is expected to heavily utilize the Eastern Range for many of its flights once it is operational, and tonight’s flight served as a preview of things to come in the area, probably sooner rather than later.

Video credit: Michael Lynch of Talk of Titusville

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SpaceX is set to launch Starship Flight 11 today from its Boca Chica, Texas, facility, on a test flight that potentially carries major implications for Florida’s Space Coast. As the company eyes future Starship operations from Cape Canaveral, today’s test flight will help validate critical systems—like heat shield performance, engine performance and stability, as well as booster recovery—all systems that must be fully qualified and fully dependable prior to the system entering an operational state.

As SpaceX prepares for the next Starship test flight from Texas, attention is shifting to Florida, where the company is laying the groundwork for future launches. SpaceX is preparing infrastructure at Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral, potentially bringing economic growth, tourism surges, and job creation. At the same time, concerns about airspace closures, beach access restrictions, and environmental impacts are mounting locally.

Starship To Boost The Local Economy

The economic implications of Starship for the Space Coast region are significant. Experts believe that regular Starship launches could revive the kind of tourism once seen during the Space Shuttle era, drawing thousands of visitors and pumping millions into local businesses. Spending on hotels, restaurants, transportation, and entertainment could surge, while local hiring and infrastructure development could follow suit. If Florida becomes a key hub for Starship activity, the benefits could extend from tourism to long-term aerospace investment.

Others point to jobs that will be created both during construction and also during the ongoing operation of Starship from the Eastern Range. The Starship expansion in Florida is expected to create approximately 600 new full-time jobs on the Space Coast by 2030, along with a $1.8 billion infrastructure investment, according to a Reuters report.

Those are the direct jobs, and other indirect positions are likely to be created as well — payload processing, infrastructure support at The Cape and others come to mind. In short, it’s fair to say that Starship will bring jobs, local spending, increased tax revenues, and a lot of other positives for the Space Coast economy.

The Price Of Progress

But with those opportunities come challenges. Previous Starship launches have already caused ripple effects in Florida’s airspace. During Flight 8, the FAA grounded commercial flights at major airports across the state, including Miami, Orlando, and Palm Beach, due to debris concerns from failed flights. While those flight failures can fairly be attributed to the company’s efforts to develop and determine the limits of Starship hardware, the incidents also portend delays SpaceX ramps up operations here. Similar disruptions for ongoing normal operations could become more common, affecting both travelers and airlines across the region.

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has warned that airline passengers could be delayed by up to 2 hours per flight, with an average interruption of 40 minutes per event. That will not only inconvenience passengers, it will also create logistics issues for air carriers and their destinations. All of that has a price, and airlines are resisting paying it.

Environmental and community concerns are also growing. The FAA’s draft environmental review proposes closing Playalinda for around 60 days a year to create safety zones during launches and tests. That’s before Florida’s notoriously fickle launch weather is taken into account.

In the past 30 years of missions lifting off from the Kennedy Space Center or Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, about 48 percent of launch scrubs were because of weather violations. Each of those weather violations will result in additional closures at Playalinda and other nearby areas, inconveniencing not only tourists but also local businesses in the Titusville area that depend on them.

Local residents and advocacy groups are voicing concerns about the impact of frequent launches on wildlife, natural habitats, and noise levels. Researchers are also examining how the intense force of Starship liftoffs may spread particulate matter from the pad into surrounding areas. Whether that makes any difference to NASA, the US Fish and Wildlife Service or other government agency has yet to be seen.

Tonight’s Mission

Flight 11 will launch from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas, using Booster 15 and Ship 38. Booster 15 will reuse a number of Raptor engines for its flight, proving the reusability of SpaceX’s new powerplants. After liftoff, the Super Heavy booster is expected to complete a full-duration ascent burn, separate cleanly from the Starship upper stage, and perform a controlled boostback and landing burn over the Gulf of Mexico. Unlike earlier tests that attempted landings on water, this booster will not be recovered, but the descent performance and engine burns will be closely monitored.

The Starship upper stage, once separated, will ignite its engines to reach near-orbital velocity and coast across the globe on a suborbital trajectory. The vehicle is expected to reenter Earth’s atmosphere over the Indian Ocean, targeting a controlled splashdown. During this phase, SpaceX will be evaluating critical thermal protection systems, particularly the performance of its heat shield tiles. This will help validate Starship’s reentry capabilities under conditions that simulate the return from orbital missions. The flight path has been carefully chosen to minimize risk to populated areas and optimize data collection.

Success for Flight 11 doesn’t depend on full recovery or reuse but on hitting key engineering milestones. SpaceX is focused on clean stage separation, stable engine performance, successful ignition and shutdown sequences, and accurate reentry tracking. It also aims to test refinements in flight software, telemetry, and structural resilience. If the heat shield performs as intended and the booster’s descent proceeds according to plan, the flight will mark a step forward in proving Starship’s viability for future orbital missions, including satellite deployment, lunar landings, and eventually Mars transport.

Flight 11 is also a proving ground for operational procedures and systems integration that will feed into future missions from Florida and beyond. Every sensor reading, pressure fluctuation, and engine plume will inform hardware tweaks and software updates for the next generation of test flights. While the vehicle won’t carry payloads or astronauts this time, the stakes are high: SpaceX is racing to mature Starship into a reliable workhorse for NASA’s Artemis program.

No matter the outcome of tonight’s flight, Starship in Florida will remain a hot topic, at least until the Department of the Air Force and the FAA release their findings from the ongoing environmental studies, which are now in their final rounds with the public. Those decisions are due late this year or early in 2026.

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Starlink launching in 2023 from SLC-40 in Cape Canaveral.

SpaceX is planning to launch another tranche of Kuiper satellites for Amazon from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station Monday evening after weather delays stopped previous attempts last week. The current launch window opens at 08:08 PM ET (0008 Z), and closes at 10:22:00 PM the same day. Weather here at the launch site is all but perfect, but out at sea, conditions in the expected booster landing area will remain a concern for at least another couple of days.

After launching and powering the initial ascent phase for the mission, Booster 1091-2 will complete its second mission by landing on ASDS  ‘Just Read the Instructions’, which is stationed downrange in the Atlantic Ocean.

Should it be required, a backup launch opportunity is available on Tuesday, October 14 starting at 7:46:00 PM ET.

At A Glance

Details
Mission Falcon 9 Block 5 | Project Kuiper (KF-03) — Go for Launch!
Organization SpaceX
Customer / Payload Provider Amazon Kuiper Systems
Location Cape Canaveral SFS, FL, USA
Rocket Falcon 9
Pad Space Launch Complex 40
Status Go for Launch
Status Info Current T-0 confirmed by official or reliable sources.
Window Opens Monday, 10/13/2025 8:08 PM
Window Closes Monday, 10/13/2025 10:22 PM
Destination Low Earth Orbit
Mission Description Third of a three-launch contract for Amazon’s Kuiper low Earth orbit satellite internet constellation, with 24 satellites on board.
Broadcast Start Time Coverage typically begins ~15 minutes before launch.
SpaceX Streaming Coverage Watch Live on SpaceX.com
Spaceflight Now YouTube Coverage Watch on YouTube – Spaceflight Now Live Stream

As of 11:48 AM Friday October 10, 2025. Launch times are subject to change or cancellation at any time. Consult SpaceX.com for more information.

Weather

The 45th Weather Squadron of the US Space Force’s Launch Delta 45 has forecast a 95% chance of acceptable conditions at The Cape, and they have also outlined concerns in the booster recovery area.

Trajectory

The vehicle is expected to insert its payloads into a roughly 630 km altitude, 52° inclination orbit — the same operational orbit used for prior Kuiper launches.

Payload

Tonight’s launch carries 24 Kuiper satellites, built for Amazon’s Project Kuiper constellation. These spacecraft are designed for broadband internet delivery, each outfitted with advanced phased-array antennas and inter-satellite laser links to route data across the network.

Together, they will bolster a growing low Earth orbit (LEO) broadband mesh that Amazon aims will eventually consist of over 3,200 satellites to provide global high-speed internet access.

Once in service, these 24 new Kuiper satellites will add capacity and redundancy to the live network. They’re expected to support continuous global coverage in coordination with previously launched Kuiper craft, making the network more robust against outages or orbital anomalies.

Launch Viewing: In Person

The best options are available for spectators: Jetty Park, the Banana River Bridge on FL 528 W or the southern Titusville parks on Washington Avenue / US-1.

The Space Bar will be open through the launch window. Restaurants in Port Canaveral, specifically Gators Dockside, Fishlips and Grills Seafood should have good views after the rocket clears obstructions.

Remember that there is a delay between a launch stream and the actual countdown clock. That is simply because of physics: it takes time for the signal to travel from the launch site, through the Internet, and back down to your phone, resulting in a five to fifteen-second delay.

Launch Viewing: Online

SpaceX will have a livestream of the launch on their website: Kuiper KF-03. This will also be available on the X platform. Coverage starts about fifteen minutes before liftoff.

Spaceflight Now will have coverage of the launch starting about one hour before liftoff on Youtube: link

For official updates regarding launch timesSpaceX.com is the best source of information. Starlink launch times change from time to time, and the company generally updates their website within minutes of the decision to change the launch time. This is very handy if none of the streaming options on YouTube have started their broadcasts.

Next Space Flight an app for iOS and Android phones, has a real-time countdown clock that is accurate to a second, give or take. The app is free. Search the App Store or Google Play. They are also on the web: nextspaceflight.com.

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Since its first flight in 2018, Falcon Heavy has demonstrated exceptional lift capacity and mission flexibility. After the retirement of the venerable Delta IV Heavy, Falcon Heavy is the only three-liquid booster-core combination in operation at the Cape. SLS uses solid rockets as its side cores.

So far this year, Falcon Heavy has not been on SpaceX’s launch schedule. The last Heavy launch was on October 14, 2024, but at least one is tentatively set for late 2025, and as of now, there are no confirmed Falcon Heavy launches with a fixed date before 2027.

Astrobotic’s Griffin-1 Set For NET December

Astrobotic’s Griffin Mission One is a lunar lander contracted by NASA as part of the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program, and it is slated to head for the Moon aboard a Falcon Heavy. It is reportedly on schedule for a December launch from Kennedy Space Center, assuming that payload preparation and rocket availability remain on track.

Two Potential Flights For Falcon Heavy In 2026

For other Falcon Heavy missions, the schedule is far more nebulous. There are two potential Falcon Heavy missions scheduled for next year, but no specific target dates for launch have been announced.

That said, it is possible that after the Griffin launch late this year that SpaceX might launch Starship from LC-39A before a Falcon Heavy. Possible, sure, but launch schedules have a funny way of changing without notice, so as always, keep an eye on the schedule trackers for the latest information.

First, the USSF launches recently granted (plus Griffin). After that, it gets interesting.

Expected Falcon Heavy Launches — Now through January 1, 2027
Mission / Payload Launch Vendor Rocket Estimated / NET Date Remarks / Notes
Griffin Mission 1 SpaceX Falcon Heavy Late 2025 Listed on multiple tracking sites as the next Falcon Heavy launch from LC-39A.
USSF-75 SpaceX Falcon Heavy 2027 Appears in SpaceX manifest as a future Falcon Heavy mission.
USSF-70 (ROOSTER-5 & TETRA) SpaceX Falcon Heavy 2027 Listed in 2027 manifest; details subject to change.
NROL-97 SpaceX Falcon Heavy 2027 Manifest sources list as planned Falcon Heavy mission.
USSF-186 SpaceX Falcon Heavy 2027 Manifest shows “planned” status for late-decade launch.

As of October 6, 2025. Launch dates are subject to change or cancellation.

Others:

There is no current launch schedule for launching the ViaSat-3 F3 (Asia-Pacific) satellite; the satellite’s launch is planned for late in 2026, after its sister satellite, ViaSat-3 F2, is in service. It will be carried to orbit aboard Falcon Heavy.

Astrobotic’s third lunar mission is targeted for launch in 2026 aboard Falcon Heavy. No date for liftoff has been given as of yet.

Nancy Roman Grace Telescope: presumed to be in 2027.

Artemis Gateway PPE & HALO: presumed to be in 2027 if program not canceled.

That tells me that if I want to witness the raw power and fury of a Falcon Heavy any time soon that I should make plans for the Astrobotic launch later this year. It might be a while after that before the heavy lifter flies from The Cape.

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On October 4, 1957, the Space Age began in earnest: on that day, the Soviet Union orbited Sputnik 1, shocking the world and especially the United States. Sputnik was flying overhead, the Russians were having a propaganda feast, and military leaders were confronting a sobering new reality.

Fear and anger washed over the West. If the Soviet Union could orbit the entire planet, then their missiles could strike any target any place in the world too. Suddenly, the Cold War was a lot colder. Nobody was safe. Anywhere.

Then came the questions: Were the Russians that far ahead of everyone, especially the US? Could America have orbited a satellite first? Then, of course, the biggest question, the one that was usually shouted: What are we going to do about it?

The answer to the last question was to orbit our own artificial moon, or satellite. Soon.

The answers to the other questions are nuanced. The US was indeed capable, and could have been the first to orbit, probably. Even if it had, America was still technically behind the Russians, who could loft more mass than the US.

President Dwight D. Eisenhower (1953 to 1961)

From the convenience of the hindsight offered by history, the short answer is technically that the United States rocket probably could have won the race to orbit, but politically, not under President Dwight D. Eisenhower.

Geopolitical Chess Games

Eisenhower deliberately chose a civilian path to America’s first satellite to set a crucial legal precedent for future reconnaissance, and he kept the Army’s rocket team (ABMA) on a tight leash until after Sputnik flew. Meanwhile, the Army had nearly complete orbit-capable rockets stored in an Alabama warehouse long before October 4, 1957, and the launch of Sputnik 1. Eisenhower sidelined them.

Years before Sputnik, Eisenhower was already pursuing reconnaissance satellites. In 1954, he had established The Killian Panel to devise technology for global intelligence gathering that would reduce the possibility of a surprise nuclear attack. The result was an initial concept for the WS-117L reconnaissance satellite program, which the Air Force began in earnest in 1956, with the result being the first American spy satellites.

Eisenhower’s advisers worried before Sputnik that if the United States put a military satellite such as a WS-117L spacecraft over other countries first, it could trigger diplomatic protests that outer space was sovereign airspace above each nation below.

To negate this idea, the White House therefore backed a civilian International Geophysical Year (IGY) satellite using the Navy’s Vanguard, precisely to establish the norm that satellites could lawfully overfly national territory—a principle dubbed “freedom of space.”

When Sputnik crossed American skies without international protest, Eisenhower saw that the norm was effectively validated. The concept of “Freedom of space” remains relevant to this day. So do reconnaissance satellites.

The firestorm was intense and instantaneous. ‘America,’ many political commentators said, ‘cannot let this stand.’

Publicly, the President downplayed Sputnik’s military significance but privately, he took it as a useful assist to the overflight precedent he wanted for reconnaissance. The punch certainly stung, but Eisenhower, ever the cagey strategist rolled with it.

It took Eisenhower four days to order an acceleration of the first U.S. launch. On Oct. 8, 1957, he directed the Pentagon to ready the Army Ballistic Missile Agency (ABMA) to orbit a satellite; the formal go-ahead arrived in Huntsville on Nov. 8. Explorer 1 flew on Jan. 31, 1958.

Did The US Have An “Orbit-Capable” Rocket Before October 4, 1957?

“The Redstone flew in ’53 the first time, and even before that, in about ’52, von Braun and I met each other in the hallway one day, and just in passing, he said to me, “With the Redstone we can do it.”

“I was dumb enough. I said, “Do what?”

“He said, “Launch a satellite, of course.”

Dr. Ernst Stuhlinger, in a NASA Oral History

From a technical standpoint, the Army’s Jupiter-C was close to being an orbital launcher. But “close” is not “on the pad.” Juno did not have a flight-ready payload assembled and qualified, nor had it been authorized for an orbital mission. The ABMA team was dealt out despite holding the best hand at the table. Moreover, the orbital configuration’s design existed, had even been flight tested, but had never, of course, gone into orbit.

In 1956–57, Jupiter-C performed high-altitude nose-cone tests and ABMA and JPL engineers knew that adding a small fourth stage a small payload could reach orbital velocity—the configuration that lofted Explorer 1. In those earlier tests, the highest stage was intentionally “dead” (often described as being ballasted with sand) to prevent any accidental satellite. Those were orders, not a lack of know-how. The fourth stage would have to wait.

Were Orbit-Capable Rockets Just “Sitting In A Warehouse?”

One of the enduring stories claims ABMA had “orbit-capable rockets sitting in a warehouse” before Oct. 4, 1957. There is a kernel of truth wrapped in myth that has become legend.

ABMA did keep Jupiter-C hardware available from its nose-cone test series in storage in Huntsville, and senior Army leaders argued they could orbit a small satellite quickly if authorized. Those rockets were, of course, in Alabama, and not here in Florida, where they would eventually launch.

Later accounts (and Army memoirs) recall these “surplus” Jupiter-C vehicles “on the shelf” and describe efforts to ensure no accidental orbital launches resulted during previous test flights.

“Tucked away inside the Jupiter-C program was a well-known secret agenda to assemble one of these vehicles with a 4th stage that could place a small object into orbit about the earth.  One of the Jupiter-Cs received special handling and security.  When we conducted the SFT, which included testing all the electronics necessary to activate the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th stages, the Commanding General and Dr. von Braun were on hand to observe the test.  

“When that test was completed, the whole assembly was wrapped and carried to a sealed hanger to await the possible permission to orbit a satellite.”

Willie (Bil) Weaver, Stories from NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center: The Jupiter-C Rocket and Explorer-1 Satellite

That supports the notion of ready hardware—but not a complete, cleared satellite mission waiting only for a countdown. Some final preparations would be needed. A payload needed to be designed, built and tested. The rockets would need to be transported to the Cape, they’d need to be prepared, tested, payload installed, tested some more, taken out to the launch pad then prepared to launch, etc. before finally flying. Once flying, telemetry would need to be monitored, a global task then involving international cooperation and even ships placed at points mid-ocean.

Those preparations are demanding and exacting and encountering problems during a launch campaign is almost expected. Especially when it is your first time doing it.

The Flop Heard Around The World: Vanguard TV3

On December 6, 1957, the US made its first reply to the Soviet feat.

Here at Cape Canaveral, Vanguard Test Vehicle-3 (TV-3) managed to rise only about 4 feet before it lost power. The rocket then collapsed back onto the launch pad and detonated in a tremendous fireball. It was a highly visible and embarrassing setback for the US.

Newspapers derided the failure with nicknames like “Flopnik” and “Kaputnik,” playing off the Soviets’ Sputnik triumph. Though the Vanguard payload was hurled clear of the blast and later recovered, it was too damaged for any further use. The rocket was in thousands of pieces and for it, there was no repair. For the time being, Vanguard was out. Redstone and ABMA were the US best hope to reply to the Soviet Union.

Meanwhile, In Huntsville

Now tasked to orbit a satellite after Sputnik, ABMA and JPL went to work as preparations for another Vanguard attempt continued elsewhere. The ABMA / JPL teams fielded the Juno I / Explorer 1 booster and satellite combination and launched successfully on Jan. 31, 1958.

If that sounds simple, it wasn’t. VL Pinson, Sr., an ABMA employee then located here in Cocoa said, “We checked, then we rechecked, then we checked again. When we were asleep we were dreaming about what we should check the next day. Everything had to be right.”

Turned out, the ABMA and JPL team did a whale of a good job. They successfully launched to orbit on their first try, a feat that even today is notable. In 1957, it was an incredible achievement.

William Pickering, James Van Allen, and Wernher von Braun celebrating at the announcement of Explorer I’s successful launch in 1958.

That mission is obviously the stuff of legend: in 119 days, the United States joined the Soviet Union as a spacefaring nation. While the two countries had launched “scientific” satellites, the meaning was very clear to military leaders from both sides of the Iron Curtain: either side can strike the other at any place and at any time. The reality of Mutual Assured Destruction was coming quickly into focus.

The speed of the ABMA Juno-1 turnaround underscores how mature the hardware was—but also that it was policy, final approvals and geopolitical gamesmanship that stood between Huntsville and an actual pre-Sputnik orbit.

So, Could The US Have Gone First?

There are a lot of ifs, but yes, under different political circumstances, the US probably would have beaten Sputnik 1.

If Washington had chosen the Army’s route in 1955–56 instead of Vanguard, the U.S. might have launched first. ABMA and its Redstone family were farther down its development timeline, its team more experienced, and its platform more robust. Its chances of success were always higher than Vanguard.

On the surface, that might suggest the US backed the wrong horse. Still, Eisenhower’s decision to support the Vanguard program was strategic and never careless: it prioritized a civilian image and the overflight precedent essential for the reconnaissance satellites that his administration was already developing.

So, sometimes when you lose, you win.

As NASA’s own history notes, the administration viewed Sputnik less as a military threat than as an (unwelcome) but useful boost to establishing “freedom of space.” Once that point of international law was established, Eisenhower unleashed Huntsville and JPL—and Explorer 1 was in orbit within weeks. And not so long afterward,

The Space Age was born and the starting gun for the Space Race had been fired…twice. The world and especially the areas around Cape Canaveral would never be the same.

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NASA astronaut and Expedition 63 Commander Chris Cassidy conducts a spacewalk in a Collins Aerospace EMU to set up the Tranquility module for the future installation of a NanoRacks airlock that will enable public and commercial research on the outside of the International Space Station. Cassidy has completed 10 spacewalks throughout his career for a total of 54 hours and 51 minutes spacewalking time.
Photo: NASA

Collins Aerospace, a North Carolina-based major aerospace contractor with deep roots in Brevard County, is under scrutiny following a critical NASA Inspector General report that highlights serious performance issues with the company’s management of the spacesuits used on the International Space Station.

Collins is a unit of RTX (formerly Raytheon Technologies) and it employs thousands in Brevard County and plays a pivotal role in Florida’s aerospace ecosystem. The company supports not only the ISS program but also numerous spaceflight systems through partnerships with NASA’s Kennedy Space Center and commercial space providers operating along the Space Coast.

With over 110 missions and nearly 300 spacewalks to its credit, the Collins Extra Vehicular Mobility Unit (EMU) is an integral part of the ISS and a key component of the American space program. Spacecraft in their own right, these complex systems allow human extracurricular activities outside of ISS where the crew can perform repair, insulation, experiment retrieval and other vital activities for the ongoing functionality of the orbiting outpost. Simply put, they are critical items, even if the general public often takes them for granted.

The Report

You can read the report for yourself below, or download it to read in Acrobat Reader or a similar PDF viewer.

EMU Current Situation

18 EMU suits were originally manufactured, and the last time a number was reported — in 2017 — the number of functioning EMUs had dropped to 11, and conventional wisdom in the space industry holds that there are fewer than the eight-year old 2017 count still working.

While the EMU is a venerable piece of hardware that has served NASA for decades, it is close to its end of life. Now, a NASA audit, released this week by NASA’s Office of Inspector General (OIG), paints a troubling picture of Collins’ work under the $1.5 billion Extravehicular Activity Space Operations Contract (ESOC).

Collins was originally awarded in 2010 for $324 million, the contract has ballooned in size and scope as the ISS mission has been extended through 2030, presumably the same year ISS will be deorbited.

NASA Findings

The report cites repeated delays in delivering life support components, including the fan pump separator and carbon dioxide sensors, which are essential to astronaut safety. In some cases, components originally due in 2020 and 2022 have still not been delivered.

Summary of Deficiencies cited by NASA
Category Deficiency Danger
Water Intrusion in Helmets NASA documented multiple incidents where water leaked into astronauts’ helmets during spacewalks, including a 2013 event and another in 2022. These events pose severe risks of asphyxiation, vision impairment, and communication failure during extravehicular activities.
Thermal Regulation Failures Malfunctions in cooling systems, especially the sublimator units, have caused problems regulating suit temperature. Uncontrolled temperatures can lead to overheating or hypothermia, endangering astronaut health and limiting operational capability.
Injuries from Suit Fit and Design Limitations The bulky and rigid design has led to physical injuries, particularly in the shoulders and hands, due to poor fit and restricted mobility. These injuries can impair astronaut performance and require medical attention, possibly compromising mission objectives.
Delayed Delivery of Critical Components Collins has experienced years-long delays in delivering essential life support components, such as fan pump separators and carbon dioxide sensors. These delays reduce the number of available functioning suits, increasing the risk of suit failure and EVA cancellations.
Obsolescence of Replacement Parts Many suit components are no longer manufactured, and suppliers have exited the market, making replacements difficult. Continued use of obsolete or expired parts increases the likelihood of system failure during missions.
Quality Control Failures Instances were reported where expired, incorrectly built, or inadequately tested components were installed or shipped, including a component that remained on the ISS two decades past expiration. These failures compromise suit integrity and astronaut safety, raising the risk of malfunctions in space.
Inadequate Management of EVA Anomalies Collins and NASA experienced delays in identifying and resolving anomalies, such as the 2024 umbilical unit water leak that led to a spacewalk cancellation. Slow responses to real-time issues increase the risk of loss of life support functions and mission failure.
Cost Overruns and Schedule Failures Over the past three fiscal years, Collins exceeded planned costs by an appreciable amount. These financial and schedule inefficiencies strain NASA’s resources and delay the availability of safe, functioning suits.
Inflated Contractor Performance Ratings Despite repeated failures, Collins received high performance scores and a majority of available award fees, which the Inspector General deemed inconsistent with actual results. Overly generous evaluations reduce accountability and hinder meaningful performance improvement.

NASA’s own evaluations, according to the report, appear to inflate Collins’ performance scores, particularly in technical management and safety compliance, despite “persistent schedule, cost, and quality problems.” In 2023, NASA took the unusual step of sending a formal letter to Collins leadership expressing dissatisfaction across multiple contracts — including ESOC.

NASA management concurred with most of the report’s recommendations and committed to updating evaluation criteria and reassessing award fee practices by the end of 2025. However, they defended the current scores as fair within the broader context of the contract’s scope.

For its part, Collins says it has been troubled by supply chain issues, schedule delays, cost overruns. These problems have threatened NASA’s ability to conduct safe and timely spacewalks, a critical function for ISS maintenance and research.

As of the time of this writing, the company has not responded publicly to the NASA OIG report.

Collins Dropped Out Of Next-Gen Spacesuit Development

In 2019, NASA’s Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel strongly recommended a complete EMU replacement due to the aging technology in the long-running program. In 2022, NASA selected Collins and Axiom Space to develop the next-generation spacesuit systems needed for the Artemis Project and for ISS. Collins was tasked with building the ISS suit, Axiom with the lunar suit.

Things seemed to be going well for Collins in their efforts as they developed and tested their new systems.

In 2024, however, Collins dropped out of the program. It was said that NASA and Collins felt that the development timeline would not support the space station’s schedule and NASA’s mission objectives, and thus the contract with Collins was mutually descoped.

Industry chatter suggested at the time that Collins’s program was encountering cost overruns and technical challenges, and that under a fixed-price or tightly constrained contract environment, continuing the program would have risked further losses.

Whether or not that conjecture was true is immaterial: Collins was out, Axiom Space and the AxEMU were the only game in town. Until Axiom’s suit was ready to take over Artemis and ISS use, Collins would continue to support the current EMU. That work is under scrutiny from the NASA OIG Report.

The Next Generation Suit – On The Way And Apparently On Track

As mentioned above, Axiom Space is the sole vendor preparing the next generation of spacesuits for NASA and presumably for other customers.

Axiom describes their ISS version of the suit: “Similar to the Artemis III spacesuit, the Axiom Space ISS suit will be built to accommodate a wide range of crew members … provide increased flexibility … life support systems, pressure garments, and power avionics and communication.”

SpaceX

While SpaceX and the Polaris Dawn flight made a lot of noise in 2024 with its EVA, it should be noted that the SpaceX suit tested was not even the old EMU’s equal in terms of environmental control, autonomy, duration, robustness, and task flexibility. The SpaceX suits were intermediate or developmental EVA-capable suits, not yet the full “go-anywhere, high-complexity” spacesuit used by NASA for ISS or lunar EVAs. Theirs is a program still in development.

Currently the AxEMU is undergoing testing and development, focusing on preparation for NASA’s Artemis missions. Recently, for the first time, two AxEMU suits were tested at the same time in the in the Neutral Buoyancy Laboratory at NASA Sonny Carter Training Facility in Houston. Last month astronaut Walter Villadei took part in an integral test of the AxEMU using lunar-task tools, to evaluate stowage, deployment, and usability of tools under realistic constraints.

No specific date for testing the new AxEMU suit in space has been given, but multiple sources say that the company is shooting for a Critical Design Review late in 2025 or early 2026. Following the resolution of any action items, the AxEMU may be tested in orbit on ISS prior to being put to work on the lunar surface as part of the Artemis landings.

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As October progresses, Blue Origin has turned up the tempo of its preparations for the next launch of its New Glenn rocket. Plans are converging toward a liftoff sometime between mid-October and mid-November for the second mission of the 322-foot-tall (98-meter) rocket, which will carry NASA’s twin Rocket Lab-built ESCAPADE probes and place them on their way to Mars.

Though the company has not yet committed to a hard launch date, recent public statements suggest the first-stage static fire is likely to occur in the middle of the month, with a launch to follow soon thereafter. All of the pieces are coming together for a second New Glenn flight.

In a post on social media, Blue Origin affirmed that “ESCAPADE is at Astrotech and GS1 [the first stage] is headed to LC-36 in early October,” adding that the “vehicle hotfire mid-month” is the next major activity. Given that today is October 2, “mid-month” is only a couple of weeks away.

That phrasing strongly implies that the full booster test—igniting all seven BE-4 engines while the booster is held on the pad—is expected in mid-October. Assuming a successful test firing of GS1, the entire launch vehicle will then be stacked and returned to LC-36 for its eventual flight to space.

Meanwhile, the second stage of the vehicle has already undergone a dedicated hot-fire test on September 23, a milestone that cleared that portion of the stack for upcoming integration work.

This campaign comes in the wake of New Glenn’s inaugural flight in January 2025, which successfully placed the Blue Ring pathfinder payload into orbit but failed to recover the booster.

After NG-1, Blue Origin and the FAA jointly reviewed propulsion and re-entry performance and identified corrective measures, especially concerning propellant flow and engine re-ignition control. In March, the FAA released its findings and a list of items that were required to be remediated and verified before a second launch.

FAA Licensing

The FAA already licenses New Glenn Flight 2 under Blue Origin’s existing five-year Part 450 commercial space launch license, issued in December 2024 and valid through at least 2029. No separate license is required for subsequent flights under this framework, provided that Blue Origin meets the changes required after NG-1’s flight and subsequent investigation.

This license authorizes multiple orbital missions from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station (LC-36), including reusability attempts for the first stage on an Atlantic barge. It covers Flight 2 following the closure of the Flight 1 mishap investigation in March 2025.

Pretty clearly, business is picking up for Blue Origin. Sooner rather later, skies above the Space Coast are going to turn blue again as NG-2 powers its way to orbit. And may the odds ever be in their favor.

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