Space Coast

Crew Dragon sitting on SpaceX’s launch pad at LC-39A at Kennedy Space Center
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

SpaceX announced a new private crew mission aboard Falcon 9 and Crew Dragon that is slated to fly no earlier than late this year.

Called “Fram2”, the mission is named after the polar exploration ship Fram, a ship used in expeditions of the Arctic and Antarctic regions by the Norwegian explorers Fridtjof Nansen, Otto Sverdrup, Oscar Wisting, and Roald Amundsen between 1893 and 1912. Fram is now housed in a museum in Oslo, and is held in high regard by many polar exploration explorers.

The polar ship Fram, in a photograph from the Fram Museum in Oslo.

Fram2 will be going to space rather than onto the open ocean, of course, and during the upcoming mission, Mission Commander Chun Wang a Maltese citizen, will be joined by Norway’s Jannicke Mikkelsen acting as vehicle commander; Australia’s Eric Philips the vehicle pilot; and Germany’s Rabea Rogge, a mission specialist, will be aboard Falcon 9. None of the four have traveled to space to date.

The Fram2 crew: from left: Eric Philips, Jannicke Mikkelsen, Chun Yang, Rabea Rogge
Photo: SpaceX

Fram2’s Planned Mission

Their mission will be to examine “unusual light emissions resembling auroras. The crew will study green fragments and mauve ribbons of continuous emissions comparable to the phenomenon known as STEVE (Strong Thermal Emission Velocity Enhancement), which has been measured at an altitude of approximately 400 – 500 km above Earth’s atmosphere.”

The SpaceX release also says that crewmembers will “to better understand the effects of spaceflight on the human body, which includes capturing the first human x-ray images in space, Just-in-Time training tools, and studying the effects of spaceflight on behavioral health,” all to inform long-term spaceflight such as the company’s stated goal of sending humans to Mars.

The launch will take place in Florida no earlier than late this year.

The original SpaceX announcement is here.

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As seen from Kennedy Point Park in Titusville, Starlink 10-7 rises off of LC-39A on August 12, 2024
Photo: Richard P. Gallagher / Florida Media Now

SpaceX launched a Falcon 9 carrying another group of Starlink satellites from Kennedy Space Center this morning in the predawn hours. Liftoff was at 06:37 AM EDT from Launch Complex 39A.

The booster used for this mission, B1073, completed its portion of the mission successfully a little more than eight minutes later when it touched down safely on the SpaceX drone ship ASDS ‘A Shortfall Of Gravitas’ east of Charleston on the Atlantic Ocean. The drone ship will now return to Port Canaveral after a few days, where the booster will be offloaded, transported to Space X’s ‘Hangar X’ facility at Kennedy Space Center. There it will be inspected, refurbished and prepared for its next mission.

Florida Media Now’s Cal Faxton caught this shot of Falcon 9 racing above and beyond a passing jetliner this morning.
Photo: Cal Foxton, Florida Media Now

At 07:34 SpaceX announced a successful second burn of the second stage of the Falcon 9 that it used for this mission, and at 07:41 AM the company announced a successful payload deployment of the Starlink satellites, indicating a successful end to the mission.

The Starlink satellites will now travel to the final orbital locations under their own power, and after commissioning, will joing the other 6100+ active satellites in the Starlink constellation. Those satellites provide Internet connectivity for over 3.1 million people in over 100 countries and territories across the globe.

Launch Replay

Replay of the Starlink 10-7 launch

Next Launch

NET Thursday, August 14, SpaceX will be back in action with a Falcon 9, this time from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station when the company plans to launch the WorldView Legion 3&4 satellites. Those satellites are owned and operated by Maxar, are used for Earth-imaging for Maxar’s customers.

  • Date: NET August 14, 2024
  • Organization: SpaceX
  • Mission: WorldView Legion 3 & 4
  • Rocket: Falcon 9
  • Launch Site: SLC-40, Cape Canaveral Space Force Station
  • Launch Window: 09:00 AM – 12:00 PM EDT
  • Payload: Earth-observation satellites
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Early in the launch window, Playalinda Beach was bright and sunny with light breezes. Spectators were relatively light, probably because it’s Florida, it’s August and it was truly hot.
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

SpaceX Scrubs In The Last Minute, Disappointing Spectators

It was hotter than a dog’s mouth this morning for spectators waiting in vain to watch today’s planned rocket launch. Scheduled to liftoff at 10:59 AM EDT, at 46 seconds, SpaceX called off the launch of Falcon 9 and the Starlink 10-7 mission from Launch Complex 39-A at Kennedy Space Center.

No official reason for the scrub was announced by the company.

Spectators gathered at the stop point on Playalinda Beach. This photo was made with about a minute left on the countdown. The launch scrubbed seconds later.

SpaceX is now targeting liftoff no earlier than 06:37 AM EDT (1037 UTC) on Monday, August 12th.

Weather

Tomorrow’s weather should offer conditions resulting in 95% GO weather-wise.

via 45th Weather Squadron, retrieved 08/11/2024 at 05:00 PM EDT

More launch information is here in our original preview article.

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A pair of Falcon 9 launches: from SLC-40 at left, LC-39A at right.
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

SpaceX is planning to launch two Falcon 9 rockets carrying Starlink satellites from Florida tomorrow.

MissionLaunchpadLaunch Window
Starlink 8-3SLC-40, CCSFS08:50 – 10:48 AM EDT
Starlink 10-7LC-39A, KSC09:03 – 11:21 AM EDT

Weather looks good, with the 45th Weather Squadron rating chances of acceptable conditions at 90% GO at the beginning of both launch windows.

Additionally, the 45th has dropped off Booster Recovery Weather off its list of additional risks. Booster recovery weather prevented SpaceX from launching Starlink 8-3 on Friday, probably due to the lingering effects of tropical system Debby. The storm has pulled out of the area and is quickly accelerating towards New England, and hopefully that will allow some calming of sea states for both SpaceX droneships out to see east of South Carolina.

Weather

Via Windy.com

Starlink 8-3

Starlink 10-7

Trajectory

Trajectories are quite similar and for simplicity’s sake we will present them as a single path. Both missions will travel northeastward.

Landing

After completing its part of the mission, the first stage booster used for Starlink 8-3 will land offshore on the Automated Spaceport Drone Ship ‘Just Read The Instructions.’

After completing its part of the mission, the first stage booster used for Starlink 10-7 will land offshore on the Automated Spaceport Drone Ship ‘A Shortfall of Gravitas.’

As such, there will be no sonic boom on the Space Coast.

Online Viewing

SpaceCoastLaunchCalendar.com will have a livestream of the launch if you’re not able to watch the launch in person: Livestream

SpaceX will have a livestream of the launch on their website: Starlink 8-3. For Starlink 10-7 click here. This will also be available on the X platform. Coverage starts about five minutes before liftoff.

Spaceflight Now will have coverage of the launches starting about one hour before liftoff on Youtube: link

For official updates regarding launch timesSpaceX.com is the best source of information. Starlink launch times change from time to time, and the company generally updates their website within minutes of the decision to change the launch time. This is very handy if none of the streaming options on YouTube have started their broadcasts.

Remember that there is a delay between a launch stream and the actual countdown clock. That is simply because of physics: it takes time for the signal to travel from the launch site, through the Internet, and back down to your phone, resulting in a five to fifteen-second delay.

Next Space Launch an app for iOS and Android phones, has a real-time countdown clock that is accurate to a second, give or take. The app is free. Search the App Store or Google Play.

Live Viewing

Jetty Park, The Banana River Bridge on FL 528W, Cocoa Beach, and the Titusville parks are your best bets. Playalinda Beach opens at 6 AM, and crowds can be expected there.

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SpaceX Falcon 9 on the launch pad
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Update, 12:06 PM EDT August 9: SpaceX waived off their attempt today due to weather in the landing zone. The company said they plan to launch tomorrow. The launch window opens at 08:50 AM EDT

SpaceX is planning to launch a Falcon 9 from Space Launch Complex 40 Friday morning. The launch window opens 08:13 AM EDT, and closes at 11:17 AM EDT the same day. Weather is 90% GO at the beginning of the launch window and dips slightly to 80% GO later in the morning.

If needed, SpaceX has a backup window opening at 8:50 AM EDT.

At A Glance

  • Mission: Starlink 8-3
  • Date: NET August 8, 2024
  • Launch Window: 08:13 AM EDT – 11:17 AM EDT
  • Weather: 90% GO at the opening of the launch window
  • Organization: SpaceX
  • Rocket: Falcon 9
  • Trajectory: Northeastward
  • Launch Site: SLC-40, Cape Canaveral Space Force Station
  • Booster Landing: Offshore on ASDS Just Read The Instructions
  • Payload: Communications satellite to geosynchronous orbit.
  • Destination: Low-Earth Orbit

    * consult SpaceX website for the specific target for exact T-0.

Trajectory

Northeastward

Payload

The payload for this mission is a familiar one: twenty-three Starlink satellites. Once deployed and operational, the satellites will join SpaceX’s Starlink constellation that provides Internet connectivity to over three million subscribers in over 100 countries globally.

Each Starlink satellite has a lifespan of approximately five years.

Weather

90% GO. The main concern is the Cumulus Cloud Rule. There is a notation of weather in the vicinity near ASDS ‘Just Read The Instructions’ having a low to moderate risk:

Landing

After completing its part of the mission, the first stage booster will land offshore on the Automated Spaceport Drone Ship ‘Just Read The Instructions.’

As such, there will be no sonic boom on the Space Coast.

Online Viewing

SpaceCoastLaunchCalendar.com will have a livestream of the launch if you’re not able to watch the launch in person: Livestream

SpaceX will have a livestream of the launch on their website: Starlink 10-9. This will also be available on the X platform. Coverage starts about five minutes before liftoff.

Spaceflight Now will have coverage of the launch starting about one hour before liftoff on Youtube: link

For official updates regarding launch timesSpaceX.com is the best source of information. Starlink launch times change from time to time, and the company generally updates their website within minutes of the decision to change the launch time. This is very handy if none of the streaming options on YouTube have started their broadcasts.

Remember that there is a delay between a launch stream and the actual countdown clock. That is simply because of physics: it takes time for the signal to travel from the launch site, through the Internet, and back down to your phone, resulting in a five to fifteen-second delay.

Next Space Launch an app for iOS and Android phones, has a real-time countdown clock that is accurate to a second, give or take. The app is free. Search the App Store or Google Play.

Live Viewing

Jetty Park, The Banana River Bridge on FL 528W, Cocoa Beach, and the southern Titusville parks are your best bets.

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Technicians at NASA’s Michoud Assembly Facility in New Orleans lift the intertank of the SLS (Space Launch System)’s core stage for NASA’s Artemis III mission to move it to another location in the 43-acre factory for further inspection and production.
Photo: NASA

“Fast, Cheap, or Right. Pick two.”
– an old engineering aphorism

A report from NASA’s Office of the Inspector General released several key findings about Boeing and the Michoud assembly facilities today. In that report, they cited massive cost overruns for the Exploration Upper Stage, quality issues at Michoud and an underqualified workforce at that facility.

source: NASA

Findings About the Exploration Upper Stage

The Exploration Upper Stage is a cornerstone of the Space Launch System (SLS) Block 1B rocket now slated to debut on Artemis IV. Developed and built by Boeing, it is planned to increase the SLS rocket’s cargo capability some 40%. Currently, Block 1 SLS, such as the one used for Artemis I and slated for Artemis II, can carry 27 metric tons to the moon. The Block 1B iterations of SLS, using the EUS will increase that capability to 38 metric tons.

The SLS Block 1B has been under development since 2014 and has faced changing technical requirements and competing funding priorities. These factors, along with congressional directives to accelerate the rocket’s development, have led to increased costs and schedule delays. Originally intended for the Artemis II mission, Block 1B’s first flight was moved to Artemis IV, extending the development timeline and increasing costs. Boeing’s EUS contract has grown from $962 million to over $2 billion through 2025, contributing to the overall SLS Block 1B cost increase.

NASA’s Management of Space Launch System Block 1B Development

The OIG added that Boeing’s Earned Value Management System (EVMS) has been rejected by the US Department of Defense for four years. EVMS is used to gauge adherence to budgets and timelines, and is not completely unlike a project management tool.

NASA delayed establishing the Block 1B Agency Baseline Commitment until December 2023, after 10 years of development and much later in the project life cycle than NASA’s standard practice. Without a formal cost and schedule baseline at critical milestones, the Agency was limited in its ability to assess adherence to budgets and timelines, and Congress and other stakeholders lacked visibility into the Block 1B’s increasing costs and schedule delays. Additionally, Boeing Defense, Space & Security’s EVMS, used by NASA for its Stages contract to measure cost and schedule progress, has been disapproved by the U.S. Department of Defense since 2020. DCMA has issued several Level II and III CARs for this EVMS, including a Level III CAR related to visibility into cost, schedule, and resource needs for several Boeing contracts, including Stages.

NASA’s Management of Space Launch System Block 1B Development

Essentially, it seems that the OIG is saying that NASA’s insight into progress and budgets is limited, and that the tool used to measure those critical items was deemed not fit for purpose by the DoD.

Boeing Quality Issues Cited

The OIG did not mince words in their scorn at Boeing’s quality control practices at Michoud:

While NASA requires its aerospace contractors to have quality assurance programs that comply with SAE International’s AS9100D standards on quality management systems, we found Boeing’s quality management system at Michoud does not adhere to these standards or NASA requirements. NASA engages DCMA to conduct surveillance of Boeing’s core and upper stage manufacturing efforts at Michoud, and when deficiencies in quality are found, DCMA issues Corrective Action Requests (CAR) to the contractor. CARs are labeled Level I through IV, with Level I the least serious deficiency. From September 2021 to September 2023, DCMA issued Boeing 71 Level I and II CARs, as well as a draft Level III CAR. According to DCMA officials, this is a high number of CARs for a space flight system at this stage in development and reflects a recurring and degraded state of product quality control. Boeing’s process to address deficiencies to date has been ineffective, and the company has generally been nonresponsive in taking corrective actions when the same quality control issues reoccur.

NASA’s Management of Space Launch System Block 1B Development

SAE International’s AS9100D is an industry-standard framework for guiding quality systems for manufacturers in the aerospace field. It came about when aerospace companies found that in practice, ISO 9001 was inadequate for DoD, NASA, FAA customer requirements. AS9100 added 55 aerospace industry-specific amplifications and requirements to ISO 9001:1994, and is often viewed as the quality standard for companies like Boeing.

Quality standards are dry to read to be sure, but they are part and parcel of any manufacturing process. Government procurement quality standards are easily found online, and make for good — if not exciting — reading.

  • Level I CARs [Corrective Action Requests] are issued to the supplier management level responsible for taking corrective actions for a nonconformity that can be corrected on the spot, and where no further corrective action response is necessary.
  • Level II CARs are the minimum level for a nonconformity associated with critical characteristics. They are issued to the supplier management level responsible for initiating corrective actions when the contractual nonconformity cannot be corrected on the spot. Level II CARs may be issued to subcontractors, and may be coupled with contractual remedies such as charge for additional cost of inspection or test when prior rejection makes reinspection or retest necessary. The purpose of a Level II CAR is to help a supplier improve their QMS. [Quality Management System]
  • Level III CARs are issued to the supplier’s top management for serious contractual nonconformities, failure to respond to a Level II CAR that has been issued, and repeat Level II CARs which indicates inadequate root cause determinations. Level III CARs are issued by the DCMA NSEO ACO and may be coupled with contractual remedies to include reduction of progress payments, cost disallowances, business management systems disapprovals, and charge for additional cost of inspection or test when prior rejection makes reinspection or retest necessary. A Level III CAR is the DCMA NSEO Commander’s management tool to correct issues that need to be addressed.
  • Level IV CARs are issued to the supplier’s top management when a Level III CAR has been ineffective and when the contractual nonconformity is of a serious nature. Level IV CARs are issued by the DCMA NSEO ACO and may be coupled with contractual remedies to include suspension of progress payments, suspension of product acceptance activities, removal of QAR from facility, and charge for additional cost of inspection or test when prior rejection makes reinspection or retest necessary.

The OIG found that Boeing Michoud had a higher-than-acceptable level of quality issues, with 71 lower-level violations leading to the drafting of a single higher-level finding. In short, that finding is all but a red alert that quality problems are present and persisting, and OIG continued by saying that Boeing’s responses and corrective actions were inadequate.

Artemis II’s Core Stage, built by Boeing at Michoud, arriving at KSC in July 2024
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Workforce Issues

OIG cited workforce issues at Michoud as a major concern:

According to NASA officials, the welding issues arose due to Boeing’s inexperienced technicians and inadequate work order planning and supervision. The lack of a trained and qualified workforce increases the risk that Boeing will continue to manufacture parts and components that do not adhere to NASA requirements and industry standards.

NASA’s Management of Space Launch System Block 1B Development

Later in the report, OIG explained why this is a problem for Boeing:

According to Safety and Mission Assurance officials at NASA and DCMA officials at Michoud, Boeing’s quality control issues are largely caused by its workforce having insufficient aerospace production experience. Michoud officials stated that it has been difficult to attract and retain a contractor workforce with aerospace manufacturing experience in part due to Michoud’s geographical location in New Orleans, Louisiana, and lower employee compensation relative to other aerospace competitors.

NASA’s Management of Space Launch System Block 1B Development

Boeing is paying a lower than market rate for employees in a region of the US that is less desirable for those workers. Put another way, highly experienced, high-talent individuals can make more money while they live in areas that they prefer to Michoud.

Effectively, Boeing has made the business decision to have a pay rate structure that has aligned with with a lesser experienced, lower skilled workforce at Michoud.

We project the SLS Program’s Block 1B development costs will reach approximately $5.7 billion before the system is scheduled to launch in 2028. This is $700 million more than the Block 1B cost and schedule baseline, or Agency Baseline Commitment (ABC), that NASA formally established in December 2023 at nearly $5 billion. The EUS accounts for more than half of the cost of Block 1B development. We estimate EUS development costs will reach nearly $2.8 billion through 2028, roughly three times the initially agreed-upon cost of $962 million in 2017.

NASA’s Management of Space Launch System Block 1B Development

Specific Recommendations From OIG

The OIG made four specific recommendations:

1. Coordinate with Boeing, the SLS Stages prime contractor, to develop a quality management system training program that is compliant with AS9100D and reviewed by the appropriate NASA officials.

2. Institute financial penalties for Boeing’s noncompliance with quality control standards.

3. Perform a detailed cost overrun analysis on Boeing’s Stages contract for EUS development.

4. Coordinate with DCMA [Defense Contract Management Agency] to ensure contractual compliance with EVMS clauses.

NASA Response

In Appendix B of the OIG Report, NASA said the following: first, that it concurs with recommendations 1, 3, and 4, but that it does not agree (“nonconcurs”) with the second recommendation, to institute financial penalties for Boeing’s non-compliance with quality control standards.

Its rationale for declining the second recommendation is that the agency

“interprets this recommendation to be directing NASA to institute penalties outside the bounds of the contract. There are already authorities in the contract, such as award fee provisions, which enable financial ramifications for noncompliance with quality control standards.”

The agency commented that

“NASA is dedicated to ensuring that its workforce and associated contractors are qualified and properly trained to ensure the safety of its missions. This includes employing project managers and technical experts who work closely with contractors to provide guidance and ensure compliance with contractual obligations. NASA holds all its programs to the highest technical and programmatic standard levied on the spaceflight community, and ESDMD bears the responsibility of equipping Artemis astronauts with safe, reliable hardware to enable the most ambitious of engineering and scientific goals.

NASA also cited supply chain and labor shortages as drivers of cost and scheduling impacts.

The aerospace industry is facing significant supply chain disruptions, similar to, and in some cases in a more acute scale, to the broader economic supply chain issues. These disruptions have been exacerbated by various factors, including labor shortages, transportation delays, and raw material shortages. These disruptions have had a profound impact on the aerospace industry, leading to production delays, increased costs, and challenges in meeting customer demand. ESDMD’s buying power is decreasing each year and escalating. These unforeseen challenges, including technical issues, are all contributing factors to cost and schedule impacts. NASA is working to adapt through proactive management strategies and understanding the interconnected factors shaping the aerospace market’s dynamics.”

Taken all together, this does not paint a pretty picture for a company that has been dogged by quality problems across the breadth of its business. Nor does it paint a pretty picture for the future of SLS — a program whose total costs have spiraled upwards seemingly non-stop since its inception.

Clearly, Boeing is not managing its manufacturing very well, and it is failing to address serious issues as they arise. In short, it sounds a lot like the same issues Boeing is facing with its commercial aircraft business.

Whether this draws the eye and ire of Congress remains to be seen. Perhaps these eye popping numbers of the exploding cost of the EUS project in the OIG report makes that inevitable, and perhaps in a Congressional examination lower cost alternatives may gain traction. Time will tell.

Source: NASA
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Starliner CST-100 in launch preparation, May 31, 2024 Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

NASA managers say they are close to a decision on when and how they plan to bring Boeing Starliner Crewed Flight test astronauts from the International Space Station. The mission was originally slated to run eight days, but the pair have been in orbit for sixty-three days since their June 5th launch from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station aboard an Atlas V.

“I don’t think we’re too far away from making that call,” Ken Bowersox, NASA’s Associate Administrator for Space Operations Mission Directorate said this afternoon. He added, “We know that at some point we need to bring Butch and Suni home [but] while they’re up there, we have extra crew, we have extra hands, they can do a lot more work, but they’re also using up   more consumables, more supplies.”

“As we’ve said before, our prime option is to return Butch and Suni on Starliner, however, we have done the requisite planning to make sure we have other options open.”

Steve Stich, NASA’s Manager for the Commercial Crew Program, August 7, 2024

Bowersox added that Williams and Wilmore may not return on the Starliner spacecraft. “In the case that we have with the Starliner crew,” he said, “the option to either bring the crew home  on the Starliner or to bring the crew home on another vehicle.  We could take either path, and reasonable people could pick either path depending on where their view is on our position in the uncertainty bound  that we have for the date.”

“We have been working with SpaceX to ensure that they are ready to respond on Crew 9 for a contingency of returning Butch and Suni on Crew 9,” Bowersox said. “If we need that we have set up the [Crew] Dragon for Crew 9 to have flexibility to have only two passengers fly up on that flight.”

One thing that NASA did not disclose is which two of the Crew 9 crew would potentially be taken off the mission should the need arise. “We’re not really ready to share  the data on which crew members,” said Steve Stich. “I think we’ll do that at the appropriate time.”

Why The Uncertainty About Starliner?

Ken Bowersox from his days as a Space Shuttle astronaut.
Photo: NASA

The reason for the uncertainty is well-documented: Starliner has thruster problems on its Service Module, and engineers and mission managers within NASA are not unanimous that the spacecraft can be safely flown until such time as the Starliner capsule would separate from its troubled SM and then begin re-entry.

Bowersox said, “We’ve got on the thruster system, on the propulsion system.  Moving forward, what we’re trying to do is reduce that uncertainty, see if we can drive some more consensus, amongst our team  at the same time getting more serious about evaluating our other options.  It’s been really great to watch our team working, our Boeing team, our NASA team, the way people are speaking up; the way we’re hearing different voices, different thoughts on how critical  different  factors are in the decision.”

“I think it’s been very healthy,” Bowersox said, speaking about the debate behind the scenes.  “I have to admit that sometimes when we get this agreement, it’s not fun. It can be painful having those discussions, but it’s what makes us a good organization and it’s what will get us to a good decision as we approach that point here in the future.”

“And I don’t think we’re too far away from making that call.”

Steve Stich Comments On Starliner Issues

Steve Stich, NASA’s Manager for the Commercial Crew Program, gave an in-depth rundown of the technical aspects of Starliner’s issues:

“I’ll talk a little bit more about the manifest changes we’ve made and what we’ve done to give ourselves some flexibility in the near term relative to  all the options that we’re looking at. So, if we start with Starliner last time we talked  a lot about testing results at White Sands, we had completed the thruster testing, which was essentially two uphill [ascent to ISS after launch] profiles trying to get to the temps that we saw on this particular thruster.”

Steve Stich
Photo: from previous NASA livestream

“And then we really have done five downhill [undocking and free flight to reentry] profiles with that particular thruster. We were able to replicate degradation in the thruster during. That testing, and we saw that continually on the downhill side with the thruster thrust levels degrading over time, which seems to mimic what we’re seeing in flight to some extent  during those downhill profiles, as we talked about during that testing, we gained insight into what we think one of the contributing factors are for that thrust degradation.”

Stich continued: “And that would be this Teflon seal on the oxidizer line poppet. Now, this poppet’s really small. It’s about, if you hold up your little pinky finger, it’s about the size of that. A little bit smaller even than your pinky finger. So it’s a small poppet. But what we saw during that testing is the  swelling of that Teflon seal.”

A simplified poppet valve. The one causing the Starliner issue is undoubtedly a different design, and this one is presented in order to give a reader an idea of the basic construction of one.
Graphic: instrumentationtools.com

“It kind of extruded a little bit. And what happens with that seal is it blocks the flow into the thruster itself, down into the combustion chamber. So we know that’s happening. We know we can get vaporization when it gets hot in that line, bringing propellant into the thruster.”

“And also when that poppet is blocked by the Teflon seal, we see some cavitation, in other words, unsteady  flow across that poppet.  We have some animation that we hope to be able to release soon to you. So you can see  what this is like. Boeing has been doing a lot of work on that animation.”

“Hopefully, we can have them share that soon so you can get a better idea of that mechanism as well. We also have this same theory that has some vaporization of the propellant, right, and it drops the thrust. So there’s really two key things that we think is happening. One, when the thruster gets really hot, the propellant can vaporize.”

“That’s where we saw the really low thrust readings on docking day. And then as the poppet swells, we can get some blockage there. Based on what we learned at White Sands,  what we’re trying to do now is sort of understand what all that data means to us from the white sands testing and then what it means to the thrusters on orbit.”

 “We did do a hot fire while we’re docked to the International Space Station on Saturday, July 11.   we wanted to understand the performance of all the thrusters across the vehicle. So we hot fired all 27 thrusters. We did not hot fire one thruster in the bottom doghouse.”

“We call it the B1-A3 thruster. That one had really low thrust before, during  the dock when we were docking back on July 6. And so we did not. Or June 6, and we did not hot fire that thruster. The interesting thing when we hot fired the thrusters is all the thrusters now across the whole vehicle are essentially at nominal thrust level.”

“So, for example, the one that we saw the most degradation in the two. A two was at about 80% before the hot fire, and now it’s about 98%. So somehow, if the poppet is the theory of what’s causing the thrust degradation, the blockage in that ox flow, somehow that piece of Teflon must have contracted and is now not blocking the flow like it was.”

“And so we have a nominal flow, essentially, into that. Thruster and nominal thrust. What we’re really trying to do now, that gives us a lot of confidence in the thrusters, but we can’t totally prove with certainty what we’re seeing on orbit is exactly what’s been replicated on the ground.”

“We’re trying to understand a little bit more about the conditions that cause the thruster fail-offs. It’s not always at the same temperature. It’s not always at the same number of pulses. And so we’re trying to understand that we are doing modeling on the ground to try to understand how this Teflon could extrude what the forces are on that Teflon.”

“And then trying to understand how it could contract over time. People really want to understand the physics of  what’s going on relative to  the physics of the Teflon, what’s causing it to heat up, what’s causing it to contract. And that’s really what the team is off trying to understand. And then look ahead toward the downhill phase and the heating on the downhill phase and seeing if we can model that on the downhill phase and ensure we have good thrusters.”

“Again, we have really good knowledge of what the downhill is. But how does that really help us out?”

 “In combination with that, we have tried to buy ourselves a little bit of time to work various options for return. And so recently, this week at the Program Control Board, just yesterday, we approved moving the Crew 9 mission to no earlier than September 24. We took that to the Program Control Board, and it was approved.”

— Steve Stich, August 7, 2024

Stich on Using Starliner As A Rescue Vehicle

Starliner CFT commander Butch Wilmore, May 2024
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

“We have been working with SpaceX to ensure that they are ready to respond on Crew 9 for a contingency of returning Butch and Suni on Crew 9 if we need that. We have set up the dragon for Crew 9 to have flexibility to have  only two passengers fly up on that flight,” Stich said.

“And then we could return four crew members in the February 2025 timeframe. And Butch and Suni would remain on station and become part of that increment and return home with them on Crew 9. Now, we haven’t approved this plan. In other words, we’ve done all the work to make sure this plan is there.”

“We have the suits identified to fly up on Crew 9. We have the seats set up so that we can fly multiple complement of people. But we have not turned  that on formally, as that’s the path that we’re going to go down. But we wanted to make sure we had all that flexibility in place.”

“We’ll  fly up the supplies needed on that Crew 9 flight, including any suits needed for butch and Suni.  You know, we’ve done previous work with that for other contingencies.  And we’ll have the foam inserts to work on all the seats for the various crew members.”

“So we’ve done a lot of contingency work and a lot of contingency planning for a lot of scenarios, but we think now we would have the whole waterfront covered. As I said, we haven’t really implemented planning for the mission for these things, but we have all the items in place to keep all the options on the table.”

That said, it appears that NASA is keeping its options open by thoroughly investigating and completing at least preliminary plans for the option of returning the Boeing Starliner CFT astronauts on a SpaceX Crew Dragon.

At the end of the press conference several things were clear: first, that NASA is undecided on whether to return Wilmore and Williams to Earth using Starliner, second, that there are disagreements within NASA about doing that, and third, that returning on a SpaceX Crew Dragon is a very real possibility with planning already started for that option as a contingency.


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Axiom 3 at LC-39A at Kennedy Space Center. The Ax-4 crew will fly aboard a similar spacecraft.
Photo: Charles Boyer, Talk of Titusville

Axiom Space announced the crew for its planned Axiom 4 mission today. The company’s release stated that it is partnering with India, through the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO), Poland, with European Space Agency (ESA) support, and Hungary to send three national astronauts to the space station on Axiom Mission 4 (Ax-4), the company’s next commercial human spaceflight mission to the orbiting laboratory.

Ax-4 Commander Peggy Whitson, Mission Pilot Shubhanshu Shukla of India, Mission Specialist Sławosz Uznański of ESA/Poland, and Mission Specialist Tibor Kapu of Hungary will make up the crew for the flight, Axiom said.

“Ax-4 represents Axiom Space’s continued efforts to build opportunity for countries to research, innovate, test, and engage with people around the world while in low-Earth orbit,” said Michael Suffredini, CEO of Axiom Space.

Suffredini added that, “This mission broadens horizons for nations with ambitious goals of advancing scientific, technological, and economic pursuits. Our collaboration with ESA for a second time and the inclusion of Hungary and India underscores Axiom Space’s ability to cultivate global partners, expand the scope of exploration, and open up new avenues to grow a global space economy.”

Peggy Whitson

Dr. Peggy Whitson
Photo: NASA

Dr. Peggy Whitson (Rice University, 1986) is one of the most experienced astronauts in spaceflight history, having already completed four previous spaceflights. She has spent more than 675 days in space and has flown on the Space Shuttle, Soyuz, and Crew Dragon on previous flights.

Her 289-day flight was the longest single space flight by a woman until Christina Koch’s 328-day flight eclipsed her record. Dr. Whitson is also oldest woman spacewalker ever and holds the record for the most spacewalks by a woman. She has conducted ten EVAs during her career, totalling over sixty hours outside in the darkness of space.

Dr. Whitson is 64 years old, and hails from Beaconsfield, Iowa. Axiom 4 will be her fifth spaceflight.

“I look forward to commanding my second commercial human spaceflight mission with Axiom Space,” said Peggy Whitson, Ax-4 commander. “With a culturally diverse crew, we are not only advancing scientific knowledge but also fostering international collaboration. Our previous missions set the stage. Axiom Mission 1 was the first all-private mission to the space station, Axiom Mission 2 launched the first Saudi female to space, and Axiom Mission 3 included both the first Turkish astronaut and first ESA astronaut to fly on a commercial space mission. Now, with Ax-4, we ascend even higher, bringing even more nations to low-Earth orbit and expanding humanity’s reach among the stars.”

Shubhanshu Shukla

Group Captain Shubhanshu Shukla.
(Photo: X/@IAF_MCC) 

Born in Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India, on October 10, 1985, wing commander Shubhanshu Shukla is an alumnus of India’s National Defence Agency, a joint-forces training academy for the Indian military.

Shukla was commissioned on June 17, 2006 in the Indian Air Force. He is a Fighter Combat Leader and a Test Pilot with approximately 2000 hours of flying experience.

Shukla will be India’s second gaganyatri – the Indian term for astronaut –  in space. Wing Commander Rakesh Sharma was aboard the Indo-Soviet crewed mission in 1984, making him the first from his country to go space. This will be ISRO’s first crewmember to fly on an American flight destined for the International Space Station.

ISRO is also independently working on advanced development of crewed flight capability. ISRO’s Human Rated Launch Vehicle (or Gaganyaan) is an ongoing program developing the technology needed to launch crewed orbital spacecraft into low Earth orbit. Gaganyaan is ostensibly near its first of two uncrewed test flights, as the first flight’s latest projected launch is sometime this year. ISRO hopes to launch its first crew in 2025.

Gaganyaan capsule.
Photo: ISRO

Group Captain Prashanth Balakrishnan Nair, Group Captain Ajit Krishnan, Group Captain Angad Pratap and Wing Commander Shubhanshu Shukla have been named for India’s first crewed flight of Gaganyaan, and undoubtedly, Shubhanshu Shukla’s training, flight experience and lessons learned from flying Crew Dragon on Axiom 4 will be of great aid to ISRO’s efforts to bring the Gaganyaan program to full fruition with a successful first mission.

Sławosz Uznański

Sławosz Uznański
Photo: ESA

Born in Łódź, Poland in 1984, Dr. Sławosz Uznański is a Polish engineer working at the European Space Agency (ESA) as a project astronaut since 2023. He was formerly at The European Organization for Nuclear Research (CERN.)

In 2011, Uznański received a doctor’s degree with distinction from the University of the Mediterranean Aix-Marseille II for thesis on radiation-tolerant designs for space applications.

He will be the second Pole to space, following Mirosław Hermaszewski in 1978. Hermaszewski flew on the Soviet Soyuz 30 spacecraft, and spent nearly eight days in Earth orbit.

Tibor Kapu

Tibor Kapu
Photo: BME

Tibor Kapu is a 32-year-old engineer who graduated from the Budapest University of Technology and Economics in his native Hungary.

He has worked in the pharmaceutical industry on batteries for hybrid cars and radiation protection for astronauts. For the last two years, he has worked on space radiation protection at Remred Space Technologies in the space industry. As a parachutist, he has 38 jumps under his harness.

Kapu will be the second Hungarian astronaut, and like Shubhanshu Shukla, he will be the first from his country to fly on an American spacecraft to ISS. Forty-four years ago, Bertalan Farkas became the first Hungarian astronaut. Farkas flew Soyuz 36 and docked for over 26 days at the Soviet Salyut-6 space station.

Astronauts In Training

The Axiom 4 crew have arrived in Houston, according to Axiom Space, and will now begin training for their flight, slated for NET October 2024. They will launch aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 / Crew Dragon from Florida. Peggy Whitson will lead the training.

Axiom 3 liftoff in January 2024. The Ax-4 crew will fly a similar spacecraft NET October 2024
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville
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Falcon 9 ascending
Falcon 9 and Northrup Grumman’s NG-21 Cygnus cargo capsule lifts off from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral on August 4. 2024
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Despite on a 10% GO forecast and storms closing in from a distance, Falcon 9 flies another perfect mission.

SpaceX successfully launched a Falcon 9 rocket carrying Northrup Grumman’s Cygnus CRS-2 NG-21 (S.S. Francis R. “Dick” Scobee) to orbit this morning from Cape Canaveral. Liftoff was at 11:02 AM EDT under variable skies that showed a strong chance of storms coming in shortly afterwards.

Roughly seven and a half minutes after liftoff, Booster B1080 made a meteoric descent before firing up three of its Merlin engines and settling down for a soft landing back at the Cape at Landing Zone 1. At that moment, a pair of sonic booms heralded the Space Coast of booster’s return from its tenth flight.

At 11:18 AM EDT, SpaceX announced a successful separation of Cygnus from Falcon 9, ending their mission portion having had yet another good day.

Via X.com

Cygnus will not travel to ISS, and is under Northrup Grumman and NASA’s control. It is expected to arrive around 03:10 AM EDT. NASA TV will begin coverage 01:30 AM EDT on its broadcast and streaming channels.

Launch Replay

NASA / SpaceX coverage

Next Launch

SpaceX will launch the Starlink 8-3 from Space Launch Complex 40 at Cape Canaveral NET Wednesday at 08:59 AM EDT

  • Date: NET August 3, 2024
  • Organization: SpaceX
  • Mission: Starlink 8-3
  • Rocket: Falcon 9
  • Launch Site: SLC-40, Cape Canaveral Space Force Station
  • Launch Window: 08:59 AM – 12:59 PM EDT
  • Payload: Another 23 Starlink V2 Mini satellites
Falcon 9 “punches the core” and creates a vapor cone from its shock wave as it approaches Max-Q.
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville
Falcon 9 Booster B1080.10 starts its landing burn with a puff of green smoke and the fire of three Merlin engines.
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Keep in mind that launch dates and times change often. Launch attempts can be scrubbed anytime due to weather, technical reasons, or range conditions.

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Falcon 9 awaiting launch at SLC-40 in Cape Canaveral
Falcon 9 sitting on the launch mount at Space Launch Complex on August 3. 2024. After a beautiful sunrise, conditions slowly deteriorated Satruday. The launch was scrubbed at around 10AM later the same day.
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Official Forecast Has Low Confidence In A Clean Range Weatherwise

After Saturday’s scrub, SpaceX stated it would attempt to launch Falcon 9 and the Northrup Grumman Cygnuns NG-21 mission towards the International Space Station Sunday morning.

“SpaceX is targeting Sunday, August 4 for Falcon 9’s launch of Northrop Grumman’s 21st Cygnus mission (NG-21) to the International Space Station from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The instantaneous launch window is at 11:02 a.m. ET.”

Why Saturday’s Attempt Was Scrubbed

About 90 minutes before Saturday’s planned liftoff at 11:21 AM EDT, a line of heavy thundershowers brushed over Cape Canaveral Space Force Station and Launch Complex 40. Another squall line with anvil clounds with potential lightning was heading towards the Cape when mission managers made the call to waive off the attempt for the day.

The launch window was instantaneous, meaning SpaceX could not delay the launch time to let the storms pass.

Weather Forecasters Not Confident For Sunday

The 45th Weather Squadron is pessimistically rating Sunday’s chances at only 10% GO:

Via 45th Weather Squadron
Retrieved August 3. 2024 02:00 PM EDT

Their discussion is nearly as dismal as the launch chances: “The Space Coast will remain on the eastern side of the system upon its slow approach Sunday, with fast moving squalls bringing numerous rounds of heavy rain and strong winds. As a result, the Probability of Violation (POV) is very high for the initial launch window Sunday morning,” says the 45th.

“For the backup launch window Monday morning, the weather will remain poor with a similar POV as deep tropical moisture lingering as the Tropical System slides into the Florida Big Bend and Northeast Florida. Winds will remain strong with tropical squalls moving through Central Florida.”

But, it’s Florida, and a one in ten chance can end being all that SpaceX needs to successfully launch and land Falcon 9 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station.

Stay tuned.

Launch Preview

Here’s yesterday’s full preview of the NG-21 mission. All information is still accurate, except for the launch times and weather forecast (those have been updated here).

The Belt of Venus (Earth’s shadow) is descending rapidly as the sun starts to rise Saturday morning.
Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville
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