commercial spaceflight

Mars. Credit: NASA

Maybe Elton John was right when he sang in his hit “Rocket Man” that “Mars ain’t the kind of place to raise your kid.” As humanity moves closer and closer to astronauts and colonists living off of the Earth, pregnancy and childbirth are inevitable. A new study looks at the subject and it raises some interesting risks as well as a call for more research.

Published February 3 in Reproductive BioMedicine Online, a new review, “Reproductive biomedicine in space: implications for gametogenesis, fertility and ethical considerations in the era of commercial spaceflight,” brings together nine international experts in reproductive health, aerospace medicine, and bioethics to consider the issue.

Their central finding is stark: despite more than 65 years of human spaceflight, remarkably little is known about how the space environment affects the reproductive systems of men and women during long-duration missions.

“More than 50 years ago, two scientific breakthroughs reshaped what was thought biologically and physically possible — the first Moon landing and the first proof of human fertilisation in vitro,” said lead author Giles Palmer, a clinical embryologist at the International IVF Initiative. “Now we argue that these once-separate revolutions are colliding in a practical and underexplored reality.”

Three Potential Threats

The review identifies a triad of hazards. Cosmic radiation is the most well-characterized: beyond Earth’s protective magnetosphere, astronauts are exposed to galactic cosmic rays and high-energy charged particles that current shielding cannot fully block.

Doses exceeding approximately 250 milliSieverts can disrupt sperm production, and chronic exposure may impair the hormonal signaling that governs testosterone and sperm quality. (The average dose on ISS is 13 to 27 millisieverts (mSv) per month.) For women, animal studies link radiation to menstrual disruption and elevated cancer risk, though reliable human data from long missions remains scarce.

Microgravity introduces a separate set of problems. Weightlessness removes a fundamental mechanical cue that influences hormonal regulation, gamete development, and early embryonic growth. Animal studies have shown decreased sperm motility, increased DNA fragmentation, and disrupted development under microgravity conditions. Notably, a complete mammalian reproductive cycle — from egg and sperm development through birth — has never been achieved in space.

Circadian disruption rounds out the triad. Astronauts on the ISS experience roughly 16 sunrises every 24 hours. On Earth, similar disruptions in shift workers are linked to menstrual irregularities, reduced fertility, and poor pregnancy outcomes. The molecular clock genes active in reproductive tissues are known to impair ovulation when thrown out of sync.

Data from the Space Shuttle era offers some reassurance: female astronauts’ subsequent pregnancy rates were comparable to age-matched women on Earth. But those missions were far shorter than what’s now planned for lunar and Mars exploration, and male reproductive outcomes in space remain poorly documented. Clearly, more study is needed.

Ethical Questions Remain

The review raises ethical questions that reach beyond medical risk. If a child were conceived and born under lunar or Martian gravity, their skeletal and muscular development would differ fundamentally from Earth-born humans. Such an individual might be physically unable to live under terrestrial gravity — a scenario the authors frame as one of the most profound considerations of the coming era.

“As human presence in space expands, reproductive health can no longer remain a policy blind spot,” said senior author Dr. Fathi Karouia, a research scientist at NASA. He called for international collaboration to close knowledge gaps before commercial and long-duration missions make these questions unavoidable.

Source
Palmer GA, Mathyk BA, Jones JA, et al. “Reproductive biomedicine in space: implications for gametogenesis, fertility and ethical considerations in the era of commercial spaceflight.” Reproductive BioMedicine Online, published online February 3, 2026.
DOI:  10.1016/j.rbmo.2025.105431

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Ax-3 On The Launch Pad Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Axiom Space has secured another trip to the International Space Station after NASA selected the Houston-based company for a fifth commercial crew mission to the orbital outpost.

Axiom Mission 5 could launch as early as January 2027 from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida, with a four-person crew spending approximately two weeks conducting research and technology demonstrations aboard the station. The actual launch date will depend on spacecraft scheduling and ISS operational needs.

NASA chose Axiom through a competitive process outlined in the agency’s March 2025 Research Announcement. The selection continues a pattern of relying on private missions to maximize utilization of the aging laboratory before its eventual retirement.

NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman framed the announcement as proof that commercial human spaceflight has matured from proof-of-concept flights into routine operations—capabilities the agency views as essential groundwork for lunar and Martian expeditions.

The ISS Program Office sees these commercial visits as opportunities to cultivate new markets and validate technologies while preserving the station’s scientific and diplomatic functions. As NASA works toward handing off low Earth orbit operations to private providers, missions like Ax-5 serve as both revenue generators and testbeds for the post-ISS era.

As before, the mission will fly aboard a SpaceX Crew Dragon, launched by a Falcon 9.

Axiom Crews

Mission Launch Date Crew
Axiom-1 April 8, 2022 Michael López-Alegría (Cmdr) — USA/Spain Larry Connor (Pilot) — USA Eytan Stibbe (MS) — Israel Mark Pathy (MS) — Canada
Axiom-2 May 21, 2023 Peggy Whitson (Cmdr) — USA John Shoffner (Pilot) — USA Ali Alqarni (MS) — Saudi Arabia Rayyanah Barnawi (MS) — Saudi Arabia
Axiom-3 January 18, 2024 Michael López-Alegría (Cmdr) — USA/Spain Walter Villadei (Pilot) — Italy Alper Gezeravcı (MS) — Turkey Marcus Wandt (MS) — Sweden
Axiom-4 June 25, 2025 Peggy Whitson (Cmdr) — USA Shubhanshu Shukla (Pilot) — India Sławosz Uznański-Wiśniewski (MS) — Poland Tibor Kapu (MS) — Hungary
Axiom-5 NET January 2027 Crew TBD

Axiom will nominate its crew roster for Axiom 5 to NASA for its approval and international partner agencies. Selected astronauts will then complete training alongside NASA personnel and the spacecraft operator before flight.

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Artist’s rendering of Starship on its launch mount at LC-39A at Kennedy Space Center

The 50,000 foot view

The Federal Aviation Administration released the Final Environmental Impact Statement and its Record of Decision regarding the matter this morning. The Record of Decision approves SpaceX to operate Starship-Super Heavy at Launch Complex 39A at Kennedy Space Center, clearing the final major regulatory hurdle for the company’s next-generation launch vehicle on Florida’s Space Coast.

Now, SpaceX needs to complete the build out its infrastructure at LC-39A, relocate Starship flight hardware from Boca Chica, Texas to KSC, and obtain the necessary FAA launch license(s) to launch the 408.1 feet (124.4 meter) tall rocket. It will be the most powerful rocket to ever launch from the Eastern Range, eclipsing the venerable Saturn V, New Glenn and even SLS Block I.

The decision authorizes up to 44 Starship-Super Heavy launches and 88 landings annually—44 each for the Super Heavy booster and Starship upper stage. Ocean landings on droneships in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans are also permitted.

The approval follows a 16-month environmental review process that began with a Notice of Intent published in May 2024, included multiple public comment periods, and culminated in the Final Environmental Impact Statement released today.

FAA Record of Decision: SpaceX Starship at LC-39A Kennedy Space Center • Signed Jan 29, 2026
Category Details
🚀 Approved Operations
Annual Limits Approved
44 launches88 landings (44 Super Heavy + 44 Starship) • 88 static fires
  • Super Heavy: LC-39A catch or Atlantic Ocean droneship/expendable
  • Starship: LC-39A, Atlantic/Pacific/Indian Ocean droneship or water landing
Infrastructure Approved
~800,000 sq ft improvements: launch mount, catch tower, propellant generation (methane liquefier, air separation unit), storage tanks, deluge ponds, water system (~518,000 L/launch)
⚠️ Significant Environmental Effects
Emissions Significant
NOx: 385.66 tons/yr (54% over threshold, 4.35% of Brevard County)
GHG: 217,354 MT CO2e/yr (319% over threshold, 2.81% of county)
Noise Significant
Sonic booms exceed 60 dB CDNL on 28,595 acres off-KSC • Up to 82% awakening probability at night • Outdoor levels exceed 97 dB max at locations outside KSC/CCSFS
Air Traffic Significant
Avg delay: ~40 min (up to 2 hrs) • Ground stops at Core 30 FL airports • Coordination with Canada, Bahamas, Mexico, Central America, Cuba
🚧 Access Restrictions
Closures Tests: ~396 hrs/yr (4.5%) • Launches/reentries: ~462 hrs/yr (5.3%) • Total: ~10% of year (half day/half night)
NPS revenue impact: $239K–$423K/yr (13–24% loss to Canaveral National Seashore)
🐢 Wildlife Conditions (USFWS)
Training & Surveys Required
All personnel: wildlife training before onsite work (species ID, sea turtle/scrub-jay/indigo snake/manatee protocols) • Pre-construction biological surveys required • Lighting Operations Manual for sea turtle season
Manatee Required
Dedicated observer on vessels in Indian River Lagoon • 50 ft minimum distance • ≤10 knots where observed • No wake/idle near docks
📊 Required Monitoring
Species Monitoring
Scrub-jay: 70% banded in 1 yr, 90% in 3 yrs; census pre/post breeding
Sea turtle: Mar 1–Oct 31; 8 light surveys/yr; all hawksbill/Kemp’s ridley/leatherback nests monitored
Beach mouse: Habitat use, survival, reproduction, population density
Physical Monitoring
Noise: 3 events each for SH/Starship static fires, launches, landings (15 total)
Vibration: Loggers at 0.3 mi, 15″ deep; min 3 launches
🐋 Marine Conditions (NMFS)
Distance & Vessel Required
Activities ≥5 nm from coast (≥1 nm within 50 mi of LC-39A) • No coral reef landings • Dedicated observer on recovery ops • 300 ft from mammals, 150 ft from turtles • ≤10 kts near mother/calf
Right Whale Required
1,500 ft minimum distance • Nov–Apr: SH and Starship cannot both land in critical habitat same flight • No landings in active Slow/Dynamic Mgmt Areas • Flight reports within 30 days until full reusability
🏛️ Historic Preservation (NHPA)
Structures Monitoring
9 structures monitored through first 5 launches + 5 SH landings + 1 Starship landing: St. Gabriel’s Church, Pritchard House, Walker Apts (Titusville); Cocoa Jr High, Aladdin Theater (Cocoa); Cape Canaveral Lighthouse (CCSFS); John Sams House, St. Luke’s Church (Merritt Island); Beach House (KSC)
Programmatic Agreement executed Nov 22, 2025 with FL SHPO & Seminole Tribe
📋 Public Notice & Coordination
Notifications Launch schedules via news outlets, KSC SIMS, NASASpaceflight.com, Florida Today app, Brevard County Emergency Mgmt
Claims Property damage: insurance@spacex.com (SpaceX carries insurance per Commercial Space Launch Act)
Annual Meetings Required
USFWS: Jan 1–31 annually (NASA, SpaceX, FAA, USFWS, NPS, USSF) • NHPA: November annually
Record of Decision: SpaceX Starship-Super Heavy at LC-39A, KSC | Signed: Jan 29, 2026 by Katie L. Cranor, FAA | FAA Project Page

Milestones To Launching Starship From Kennedy Space Center

Updated today:

SpaceX Starship Approval Milestones: LC-39A Kennedy Space Center • FAA Environmental Impact Statement & Launch License Process
Status Milestone Date Details
Complete Notice of Intent PublishedFAA May 10, 2024 FAA initiated the EIS process via Federal Register publication
Complete Public Scoping PeriodFAA May–Jun 2024 Public input gathered on scope of environmental review; ended June 24, 2024
Complete Draft EIS ReleasedFAA Aug 4, 2025 Draft EIS published for up to 44 launches and 44 landings per year
Complete Draft EIS Comment PeriodFAA Aug 4–Sep 29, 2025 Hearings at KSC (Aug 26), Cape Canaveral (Aug 28), virtual (Sept 3); view comments
Complete Final EIS PublicationFAA Jan 30, 2026 Final EIS published addressing all public comments
Complete Record of Decision (ROD)FAA Jan 30, 2026 ROD issued with decision, mitigations, and monitoring requirements
Ongoing Infrastructure CompletionSpaceX Mid-2026 (proj.) Launch mount (installed Nov 2025), tank farm, deluge system, chopstick upgrades
Pending Vehicle Operator LicenseFAA Expected 2026 New or modified launch license for Starship-Super Heavy at LC-39A; FAA project page
Upcoming First Starship LaunchSpaceX 2026 (targeted) Initial vehicles transported from Starbase, Texas via barge
Lead Agency: FAA | Cooperating: NASA, Dept. of Air Force, Coast Guard, Fish & Wildlife, National Park Service | Updated: Jan 30, 2026

FAA Documents

The original documents are at the FAA’s Project Website, located here

Executive Summary

Record of Decision

For those who are interested in reading the minutiae of the Decision, here is a list of links to all available documents:

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Starship Heavy lifts off from Boca Chica, Texas to start the IFT-6 mission. Photo: Richard Gallagher, FMN
Starship tower under construction in 2022 Photo: Charles Boyer / ToT
Starship tower under construction in 2022
Photo: Charles Boyer

Things are hopping over at Kennedy Space Center. The Artemis II crew is preparing for humanity’s first crewed mission around the Moon in over 50 years, and Crew-12 awaits its turn to rotate astronauts aboard the International Space Station. That’s keeping NASA and its contracting partners working hard and tightly focused on the missions.

At the same time, the Federal Aviation Administration is on the verge of completing its environmental review of SpaceX’s plan to launch Starship from Launch Complex 39A.

The FAA’s first estimated completion date for the Final Environmental Impact Statement is January 30, 2026 — today — according to the federal permitting dashboard. While it may not be released today, it does indicate that the document and the Record of Decision will be released soon.

What’s At Stake

SpaceX could receive regulatory clearance to operate the world’s most powerful rocket from the same complex where Apollo 11 and dozens of Space Shuttle missions got their starts.

None of those historic missions ever concluded at LC-39A, however, and that’s part of what SpaceX is planning to do fairly regularly at KSC: launching Starship Heavy and landing Starship missions there after their job in space has been completed. Their proposal kicked off the process whose middle act could conclude any day now.

Where We Are In The Process

SpaceX Starship LC-39A Approval Milestones
SpaceX Starship Approval Milestones: LC-39A at Kennedy Space Center FAA Environmental Impact Statement & Launch License Process
Milestone Date Status Details
Notice of Intent Published
FAA
May 10, 2024 Complete FAA initiated the EIS process via Federal Register publication
Public Scoping Period
FAA
May–June 2024 Complete Public input gathered on scope of environmental review; ended June 24, 2024
Draft EIS Released
FAA
August 4, 2025 Complete Draft EIS published for up to 44 Starship launches and 44 landings per year
Draft EIS Public Comment Period
FAA
Aug 4–Sept 29, 2025 Complete Public hearings held at KSC (Aug 26), Cape Canaveral (Aug 28), and virtually (Sept 3)
Final EIS Publication
FAA
Q1 2026 (expected) Pending FAA will address all public comments and issue the Final EIS
Record of Decision (ROD)
FAA
~Jan 30, 2026 (est.) Pending FAA issues ROD with decision, mitigations, and monitoring requirements
Per permits.performance.gov estimated completion date
Vehicle Operator License Issuance
FAA
After ROD Upcoming New or modified commercial launch license for Starship-Super Heavy operations at LC-39A
Infrastructure Completion
SpaceX
Mid-2026 (projected) Upcoming Launch mount (installed Nov 2025), tank farm, deluge system, chopstick upgrades, service structure outfitting
First Starship Launch from LC-39A
SpaceX
2026 (targeted) Upcoming Initial vehicles will be transported from Starbase, Texas via barge
Lead Agency: FAA  |  Cooperating Agencies: NASA, Dept. of the Air Force, U.S. Coast Guard, U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, National Park Service
Source: FAA Stakeholder Engagement Portal, Federal Register, permits.performance.gov  |  Updated: January 2026

The FAA Isn’t NASA Though…

At Kennedy Space Center, NASA and the FAA have distinct roles. NASA manages the spaceport and leases LC-39A to SpaceX. On the other hand, the FAA has authority over commercial launch licensing, and, as the responsible agency, it must complete an independent environmental review before SpaceX can launch or land Starship from the site.

“While the 2019 Environmental Assessment prepared by NASA provides an analytical baseline, the environmental impacts of these proposed changes to Starship-Super Heavy LC-39A development and operations will be specifically analyzed in this EIS,” the FAA noted in its project documentation.

The scope has changed dramatically since that 2019 assessment. SpaceX now proposes up to 44 Starship launches per year — nearly double the original 24 — along with booster catches at the pad using the company’s signature “chopstick” tower arms, a capability that didn’t exist when NASA issued its original Finding of No Significant Impact.

The FAA released its Draft EIS on August 4, 2025, triggering a public comment period that closed on September 29. The agency held public hearings at Kennedy Space Center, Cape Canaveral, and online, collecting feedback that must be addressed in the Final EIS before a Record of Decision can be issued.

Now the Final Environmental Impact Statement is on deck, and that could come out any day.

Meanwhile, Back At The Rocket Ranch…

SpaceX hasn’t sat on its hands waiting for regulatory approval. The company has transformed LC-39A over the past year, pivoting from a Starship tower not being worked on to an active construction site steadily advancing toward operational status.

The most visible progress came in November 2025, when SpaceX transported a new orbital launch mount from its Roberts Road manufacturing facility to the pad. The original mount design was scrapped earlier in 2025 in favor of hardware matching the company’s latest configuration at Starbase in Texas.

Other work continues as well — construction of a tank farm to store propellants, outfitting the service structure and more. Clearly, SpaceX expects good news in the EIS and ROD, and given that Starship is an integral part of Project Artemis, it’s fair to say that those two legal hurdles are effectively fait accompli, and that when they are released, they will be positive for this ongoing project.

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New Glenn NG-2 ESCAPADE lifting off on November 13. 2025 Photo: Charles Boyer / Talk of Titusville

Blue Origin is picking up the pace in Cape Canaveral. The company announced today that the next flight of New Glenn (NG-3) is scheduled for NET late February. NG-2, New Glenn’s second flight, launched on November 13, 2025 on a wholly successful mission to launch two NASA satellites to Mars. NG-3 will come within 4 months of that.

Blue is planning to use the same New Glenn booster as it did with NG-2 — “Never Tell Me The Odds.” That booster landed on Blue Origin’s recovery ship “Jacklyn” after its debut flight, and Blue Origin engineers must feel confident enough in the refurbishment and flight preparation for NTMTO that the company can schedule a target date for its next flight. This flight will mark the first re-use of a New Glenn booster.

Payload Announcement for NG-3

Blue Origin also announced that NG-3 will carry AST SpaceMobile’s next-generation Block 2 BlueBird satellite to low Earth orbit.

AST SpaceMobile selected Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket in November 2024 to launch satellites for its Bluebird cellular broadband network. The constellation will serve both commercial and government telecommunications markets, providing seamless connectivity as mobile devices transition between ground-based cellular towers and space-based coverage—delivering broadband access anywhere on Earth.

“We’re proud to have AST SpaceMobile as our customer on NG-3,” said Dave Limp, CEO, Blue Origin in a press release announcing the flight timeline. “Our customers need a reliable, cost-effective launch vehicle, and New Glenn is purpose-built to serve their needs.” 

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blue origin 9x4 flight

It has been a big week for Blue Origin, first with the second launch of New Glenn, the successful landing of the first stage. As they were moving the first stage of last week’s New Glenn flight, the company casually made three major announcements today in one press release: a new, supersized New Glenn for megapayloads, ramping up the power output of its BE-4 and BE-3U engine used on the second stage of the current New Glenn, as well as the 9X4. It might be a while for the megarocket to be on the launch pad, but the engine advancements start arriving on the next New Glenn flight, NG-3.

Evolving Quickly

The first major upgrade is a boost in engine performance across both stages. The seven BE 4 engines on the booster will now deliver about 4.5 million pounds of thrust, up from 3.9 million. On the stand, BE 4 has already hit 625,000 pounds of thrust with its current propellant setup and is on track to reach 640,000 later this year. Subcooling the propellant raises the engine’s output well above its previous 550,000 pound level.

The upper stage is getting a similar lift. Its pair of BE 3U engines will move from a planned 320,000 pounds of thrust to roughly 400,000 over the next few flights. BE 3U has already shown 211,658 pounds on the test stand.

These performance gains directly support customers already booked to fly on New Glenn to low Earth orbit, the Moon, and farther than that. Other vehicle updates include a reusable fairing for a higher flight tempo, a redesigned tank that lowers manufacturing cost, and a new thermal protection system that can be reused and cuts turnaround time.

Blue Origin said in their press release today that the improvements and upgrades will be phased into upcoming New Glenn missions beginning with NG-3.  

Super-Heavy: The New Glenn 9X4

The next significant step in the evolution of the New Glenn program is a new super-heavy rocket. Called New Glenn 9×4, a nod to the engine layout on each stage, it targets missions that need more lift and higher performance. It can place more than 70 metric tons into low Earth orbit, over 14 metric tons directly into geosynchronous orbit, and more than 20 metric tons on a translunar trajectory. The 9×4 will also carry a wider 8.7 meter fairing.

Both the 9×4 and the current 7×2 version will operate in parallel, giving customers more flexibility across mission types, from mega-constellations to lunar and deep space work to national security needs such as Golden Dome or larger NSSL payloads.

Presumably, the new variant will also be built at Blue Origin’s factory in Exploration Park across from the Kennedy Space Center Visitors Center.

No mission or date for the upgraded rocket was given.

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