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Axiom-3 Scrubbed, Moved to Thursday; Weather Still Looks Good

Crew Dragon atop a Falcon 9 at Pad LC-39A at Kennedy Space Center on January 17, 2024.
Photo by Charles Boyer, Talk of Titusville.

With about six hours left in the countdown to liftoff, SpaceX announced that they are canceling today’s planned launch of Falcon 9 carrying four astronauts to orbit aboard a Crew Dragon to the International Space Station. The mission on behalf of Axiom Space is dubbed Axiom-3 and will now launch NET Thursday, January 18, 2024 at 4:47 PM EST.

In a post on the X platform, SpaceX stated that the delay “allows teams to complete pre-launch checkouts and data analysis on the vehicle.” No other reason was given today.

In a January 16th press conference, however, SpaceX did outline some areas of concern: first, parachutes in an uncrewed Dragon mission had performed differently than expected and secondly, the connectors that mate the Crew Dragon capsule to Falcon 9 were torqued incorrectly. While those concerns were not cited in today’s announcement, they may be what mission managers and engineers want to review before committing to a crewed flight.

Weather

In their latest Mission Execution forecast, the 45th Weather Squadron of the US Space Force is calling for a 20% Probability Of Violation (POV), meaning there is a 80% chance of acceptable weather for tomorrow’s planned liftoff.

Update: a new forecast was issued at 12:45pm January 17, 2024 and the article updated to reflect the new POV probabilities.

Ascent corridor (the path the rocket takes on its way to orbit) may be a concern, as the 45th Weather Squadron highlights above. Otherwise, they are calling for a small chance of rain and perhaps some issues with cumulus clouds at launch time, but otherwise, they expect good weather.

Launch Trajectory

Northeast, as is customary for launches destined for ISS.

Launch Viewing

SpaceX

A live webcast of this mission will begin on X @SpaceX about two hours prior to launch. The latest launch information can be found here.

NASA-TV

NASA will offer a webcast on NASA-TV and also YouTube. Their broadcast starts about one hour prior to liftoff.

Spaceflight Now

Spaceflight Now will stream coverage on YouTube starting about two hours prior to launch.



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